3/7/14

Taking the Ukraine From Russia v6.1 Winners and Losers?

The west has since time immemorial eyeballed the Ukraine somewhat jealously. It's a vast productive farmland in land-short Europe. The Kaiser and Hitler took it by force or the threat of further force. The Poles and the Russians fought over it in 1919. That President Obama opts to support a claim to the entire Ukraine including the Crimea and skunk Russia is entirely a function of the power of the U.S. military over Russia today. As after the dissolution of the former Soviet Union the west continues to have quite a military edge although the nuclear weapons level is rather inconsequential since it doesn't take that much to make a big bang.




http://timelines.ws/countries/UKRAINE.HTML


Golda Meyer was from Kiev. Jews were liquidated by Ukrainian soldiers repeatedly in the early 20th century. It was a violent troubled place. Cannibalism was common during the Stalin kulakization purges of farmers. Corporate farms take over mostly without forcing cannibalism these days unlike the Soviet collective farming improvement program that Stalin implemented in the 1920s. It was actually President Warren G. Harding that ended the state of war with Germany and Austria-Hungary in 1921 instead of 1918. The U.S. Congress just couldn't bring themselves to sign off on President Wilson's Treaty of Versailles with those harsh conditions for the Germans with huge reparations etc. That led to the second world war. Maybe Russia ought to be allowed to keep the Crimea as a consolation prize for taking advantage of their moment of weakness in 1991 during our time of strength. Consider that the plague was taken to Italy from the Crimea and that Stalin purged Crimean Tartars. For the Greeks it was the Chersonesos-a northern trading colony. Russian Orthodox Christianity originated in the Ukraine. Who wins if the Russians are skunked by President Obama in keeping some of their ancestral homeland?


Straight away the U.S. fossil fuel industry is salivating over building l.n.g. plants and port facilities to export gas to Europe to make up for the loss of product sales from Russia across the Ukraine to Europe. Maybe they are jumping the gun a bit yet they evidently count on several years of hostility with Russia as a reason to export gas from the U.S.A. One wonders about the timing on the Ukrainian troubles and the development of fracking technology in producing gas in North Dakota-where can it be sold and who wants to buy it?


Evidently Russia will sell perhaps 38 billion cubic meters of gas per year to China by 2025. China seems to be the big winner in the planned long range hostility planned for Russia by the Obama administration-he has never visited Alaska either. Maybe he doesn't like people that live in cold place unless they award medals. Alaska has plans to build a little natural gas pipeline or two itself. These pipelines for gas are being built all over including Siberia yet what about reforming economic development to fuel cells.


If China has vast gas supply from a Russia that loses some western market share then it can develop its economy better, faster and better without increasing coal burning pollutant energy production. Energy supply and technology investment seem to be converging on China from East and West. Apple plans to hire more than 700 engineers and many more to increase product production.


Russia though is between China and Europe with lots of natural resources. Even with lasting hostility with the U.S.A. because of American military power driven annexation of all of the Ukraine Russia will continue to work with Europe and China as the middleman and primary supplier of vast numbers of natural resources while the U.S.A. might be a little bit out of the loop except for transferring technological know-how to China. Americans though can buy more goods at Wal-mart and get increased investment from a more prosperous China in the years ahead. Also the Chinese military will expand and they will have a better navy. Yet they do have rather official atheism and a fine bureaucracy and might be tolerant of homosexual tendencies in U.S. government and business visitors better than Saudis  so the Obama administration may be happy.


I believe a more historically nuanced policy menu could have provided a better approach. The Obama navy had its first drag show at a U.S. Okinawan military base recently so we can see the direction the Democrat Party is flouncing in. There is also a movement to send 6 to 12 year old Americans abroad as exchange students. Americans need to delearn nationalism-it's an obstruction to globalism or something. Good for the elites, bad for the less than graduate degree Americans that can't all have a radio talk show.

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