Showing posts with label Revolution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Revolution. Show all posts

15 February 2026

Politicians Seem Unprepared for AI and Robotics Revolutions Arriving Soon

 The CEO of Microsoft-AI predicts the obsolescence of white collar jobs by AI in 18 months. The revolutionary AI is likely to draw a counter-revolution by displaced white collar workers voting with Democrats to replace democracy in the U.S.A. with socialism. And that would be unfortunate.

Democracy itself has the tools that would best adapt the U.S. economy to the new facts of life. Yet would would require an intelligent, well-informed electorate led by the politicians with similar qualifications and of course that is improbable. Instead, uncreative poll-driven politicians are elected and do a poor job and the media divides itself between those saying the new dummie is doing the best job ever and those saying he or she is the devil.

A democracy can vote to increase taxes on those that own the AI operated corporate world to a level able to support hundreds of millions of citizens without a basic income. Service workers too will be evolved into idleness by robots eventually. Socialism would tend to stop innovation or bridle it to such at extent that creativity would decline while society would ossify along lines of social decay.

Democrats and Republicans tend to regard politics and the political economy of the present era continuing indefinitely into the future. Neither seem to appreciate the power of AI to throw tens of millions out of work or the consequences of that. It is no longer a science fiction scenario; the machine is on the walk to the front door.

Gemini wrote;

“In a February 2026 interview with the Financial Times, Suleyman stated that AI is rapidly reaching human-level performance and could automate most white-collar tasks within 12 to 18 months

Key Predictions from Mustafa Suleyman:

  • Targeted Professions: He specifically named lawyersaccountantsproject managers, and marketers as roles where routine computer-based tasks are highly vulnerable to near-term automation.
  • Nature of the Shift: Suleyman described the development of “professional-grade AGI” (Artificial General Intelligence) capable of handling nearly any task involving “sitting down at a computer”.
  • Current Evidence: He pointed to software engineering as an early example, noting that AI-assisted coding is already used for the vast majority of code production. 

Contrasting Views:

  • Satya Nadella (Microsoft CEO): Nadella has historically taken a more moderate stance, suggesting AI will redefine cognitive labor and increase efficiency rather than making workers irrelevant.
  • Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO): While also predicting AGI within five years, Altman has suggested it might “whoosh by” with less immediate societal impact than some expect.
  • Bernie Sanders: The U.S. Senator reacted to Suleyman’s prediction by calling it an “economic earthquake” and urging for safeguards to protect workers. “-end Gemini quote

24 February 2025

A Revolution for Ukraine

Ukraine’s infrastructure destruction could be a blessing if political leadership makes it so. Usually a revolution is required to destroy the old economic infrastructure and rebuild it on new principles. The people of the world need a new political economy founded on principles of ecological economic sustainability. Usually revolution is required for such change and that often brings the devastation of physical infrastructure through civil war. Europe and western leadership have already accomplished devastating Ukraine and destroying the economic infrastructure because they would not share Ukraine with Russia. Maybe given another try at complete economic change in Ukraine they can do better.

Revolution sometimes is the only way to accomplish political change. Revolutions over history have been generally vague about what would be accomplished following a successful political revolt. Marx’s Communist Manifesto and Das Kapital are a case in point of failing to provide a realistic template for what the new theoretical state would be like. Elizabeth Warren’s 2020 Presidential primary platform of  Green and Blue New Deals was estimated to cost 70 trillion dollars to actualize by the broadcast media, and the public had little or no awareness of what it entailed; it was another blank check approach to governance.

Unlike revolutions of the past a revolution to bring about sustainable economics would require a completely comprehensive plan to actualize after the revolt brought new leadership into power. With the complexity of ecological economics exceeding the present knowledge of this generation of politicians and most of the public, the prospects for bring a successful revolution to ripen are vanishingly rare. Not only would the military element be nearly impossible to accomplish in the modern era of surveillance state with omnipresent observation of the citizens and their communication since revolutionaries would be extirpated a priori, the requirements for a comprehensive ecological economic makeover of the political economy mean that the construction of the plan would require a large number of  experts and could not be done in secret. Overt revolutionary planning in public social media would be a novel revolutionary criterion. 

Usually following a revolution in the devastated landscape that may exist humans would self-organize reconstruction in accordance with their prior knowledge and history of political economy. In other words they would be clueless about ecological economic principles and would rebuild the old maladapted political economy.

Since 2014 the United States has spent more than 250 billion dollars to prop up Kiev with military support. There was additional spending that wasn’t directly military. That is a lot of money and all that is has accomplished has been bringing Ukraine to a state of ruin with trillions required for a complete rebuild. That raises the possibility of rebuilding Ukraine with an entirely new economic infrastructure founded on ecological economic scientific principles in order to accomplish a sustainable economy.  Ukraine is a wonderful, representative devastated nation suitable for rebuilding with a completely new ecological economic criterion of sustainability yet unfortunately even European politicians are entirely devoid of ideas on the topic or of a desire to accomplish it.

President Zelensky has said Ukraine only received $100 from the U.S.A. The missing billions highlights the problem with corruption globally accentuated by the low quality of media reporting and spin that is ordinary. In that caustic social environment money and economic perfidy are the rule rather than the exception. The media has tended toward normalizing political snafu to benefit themselves.

Ukraine has achieved the prefect post-revolutionary devastation useful for starting a new economic infrastructure. Usually anarchy immediately follows revolutions if there isn’t a very strong, authoritarian power taking control. Ukraine existing in a somewhat mildly pretentious independence might be amenable to experimenting for the globe as a region with a new political economy of ecological sustainability. The Eu should be planning for that kind of state and perhaps share with Russia an ecological economic modality that could encompass the Easter Ukraine that is effectively Russia. Conventional trade could pass through Ukraine and vital mining operations exist yet there should be a radical makeover innovating and insinuating complete ecosphere sustainability into the next economic infrastructure.

https://www.ukraineoversight.gov/Funding/#:~:text=Congress%20appropriated%20%24174.2%20billion%20through,other%2C%20primarily%20humanitarian%2C%20purposes

"Congress appropriated $174.2 billion through the five Ukraine supplemental appropriation acts enacted FY 2022 through FY 2024, of which $163.6 billion was allocated for OAR and the Ukraine response, and $10.6 billion was allocated for other, primarily humanitarian, purposes."-quote from Ukraine Oversight