Ukrainian marshal law President for war Zelenskyy sapped the London Peace talks to end the Ukraine-Russia war. He prefers more ‘pressure’ to force Russia to accept his own terms. Those terms basically are that Russia retreat to the 1991 boundaries that existed when the internal ‘states’ of the former Soviet Evil Empire declared independence in the absence of a ruling authority in Moscow.
Those boundaries were inventions of the Soviet communist leadership that served political purposes. Even Jews were given a small ‘reservation’ in Siberia. Plainly the Russian Federation would never accept the shrinkage of Russia to the much smaller boundaries the Communists had set. Because it was mostly historians who recognized the fact that a future war of Russia to recover its lost ground would develop without correction, the tragedy of vacuous western European leadership failing to recognize the problem and adjust the Russian areas in Ukraine as part of the Russian Federation let millions of casualties occur in a senseless conflict that President-while-marshal-law-exists Zelenskyy seeks to continue with full western backing.
It was only the vast left-wing military support of the Biden administration that enabled the Ukraine to de frappe the Russian reconquista of part of Ukraine and Crimea that began in 2014. Although Mr. Zelensky as an experienced comedic actor can tolerate the accretion of a couple hundred thousand more Ukrainian military and civil deaths in 2025-26 to continue the war instead of cutting Ukraine’s losses and establishing a solid peace- in time the significance of the new Russia-Ukraine border would fade into insignificance with free trade and good relations- Ukraine seems likely to be in a worse position in several months than it presently is.
For Moscow’s part it too would be in their interests to seek a peace that recognizes the west’s unwillingness to allow Russian expansion westward beyond the Dnipro to occur. Historical illiteracy, paranoia and greed have brought the west to believe that the Baltic states and Poland- even Finland are objects of Russian Federation plans of conquest.
Realpolitik should recognize a final status of Russian annexation of any Ukraine land it possesses to the east of the Dnipro, free navigation of the Dnipro by all nations, that Ukraine cannot be part of N.A.T.O. and that Ukraine’s 800,000 man Army is reduced to fewer than 250,000 soldiers for a period of twenty years. Russia should proceed to establish tax free zones along the Ukraine-Russia border to encourage civil investment and business development preferably along ecological economic lines. It could also guarantee the peace of Ukraine itself in some innovative way that assures Ukraine that it will not resume war if Ukraine seems less of a military opponent.
The west probably does need to have some military security concerns in Ukraine to monitor the development of peaceful reconstruction. Perhaps 50,000 soldiers located on bases as were garrisoned in post W.W. 2 Germany could be set around Ukraine for twenty years yet not as a border force on a DMZ. Ukraine could join the E.U. in order to expedite its recovery from the war. Relations with Russia should be normalized by the E.U. as part of the peace settlement to reassure Russia that the west is not just tricking it so Ukraine can have a better chance to reload militarily and counterattack again.
The United States might consider pressuring Ukraine and Marshal Law President Zelenskyy to accept a realistic peace settlement by stopping providing military intelligence to Ukraine until it does, as well as a halt to all military and economic aid until the U.S. federal budget is balanced.
No comments:
Post a Comment