West Ukraine President Zelenski recently met with the leaders of France, Germany and the U.K. to plot peace conditions for negotiations with Russia and various attack and support platforms. The Ukraine war continues with tepid U.S. support that is yet sufficient to keep the conflict fires burning.
Ukraine and Russia began using drones to attack fire trucks in their respective countries to prevent fires caused b y drone attacks from being put out. Burn baby burn is the new zeitgeist. Each side has a limited capacity to produce drones and missiles with their economies as damaged by war as they are physically. Ukraine and Russia each attack critical manufacturing and fueling sites in order to slow down the conflict. Ukraine of course has the advantage of heavy support from Western European countries especially as regards intelligence and precise locations for targets inside Russia to attack. As Ukraine nears completion of German and western assisted missile development, and has installed an AI launching and guidance technology made in Miami.
While the U.S. Government has largely stopped dumping billions of dollars of weapons and cash on Ukraine for war it still provides critical pieces to keep the war developing.
Gemini- “The U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) paid for the AI-guided strike kits that upgrade manually operated drones into autonomous weapons. The $50 million contract was awarded to the U.S.-German defense tech firm Auterion to supply 33,000 of their Skynode AI modules to Ukraine. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
The deployment of these modules has armed Ukraine with advanced capabilities for deep-strike and logistics interdiction operations: [1]
The Tech: The AI kits function as miniature ruggedized computers that allow drones to visually lock onto a target, making them highly effective even when Russian forces attempt to use electronic warfare and signal jamming. [1, 2]
The Impact: The AI drones have successfully hunted vital Russian supply vehicles, fuel trucks, and equipment along supply routes. [1, 2]
U.S. Support: The contract represents a major escalation in battlefield AI injection and is part of a broader, once-secret push by the U.S. to connect American tech companies with Ukraine's drone industry. [1, 2]
The integration of artificial intelligence into defense technology highlights a significant shift in modern military operations. This project is a part of international efforts to provide Ukraine with advanced tools for national defense. For those interested in the broader context, information is available regarding the strategic partnerships between various government entities and private defense firms that facilitate the development and deployment of such technologies.”
Ukraine recently sent drones to kill Russian engineers working on a power line at the Zaporezhia nuclear facility. A couple of days later Russia retaliated by launching a drone to destroy a building at the Chernobyl nuclear campus. If Russia were to blast the Chernobyl sarcophagus with a hard attack it would release 30 tons of dangerous radioactive material into the air. If timed with wind forecasts it could be dispersed downwind over western Europe.
England has a better, more modern navy than Russia technically. Russia does have 50 nuclear powered submarines generally equipped with nuclear ballistic missiles though. Yet the technical capacity of the big three European allies and their excellent history of waging war with high tech and extreme violence including blitzkrieg does bring them to have unending confidence in their ability to eventually reduce Russia to submission over Ukraine. They do not consider the prospect of escalation to nuclear war seriously.
It might be remembered that just 100 nuclear weapons combined from all parties are the threshold needed to trigger nuclear winter. Besides the dispersion of radioactive materials to circle the world several times in the atmosphere, and the destruction of point target cities, a nuclear war would cause a reduction in the sunlight reaching the Earth and lower global temperatures. Agriculture would be devastated and a couple billion would starve without the global supply chain to support production and deployment of food around the world. It is likely that more than 100 nuclear devices would be used though. Russia alone has 2200 and the United States 1100 and there are other nations like England, France and India, China and North Korea with weapons of their own.
It is difficult to say how the Russia effort to readjust its boundaries of Russia from those of 1991 set by Clinton and Yeltsin when Russia was temporarily as powerless as a newborn kitten will go. Presently it is moving toward the worst case situation. Europe has hardened its point of view that all of Ukraine- that never existed as a nation before the theft by the west- will be part of the EU, and Russia will be a defeated entity with its leaders in the Hague on War crimes trials and Ukraine will be fattened with seized Russia assets and reparations following the end of the war. N.A.T.O. ‘peacekeepers’ will be located along the Russia-Ukraine border. That is the active fantasy, idea scenario in the thoughts of the leaders of England, France and Germany like elements of sugar plum fairy songs.
The United States should stop reinforcing Ukraine in any way, and assure Europe that if the war does go nuclear the United States will not respond unless attacked itself. The Trump administration in continuing important low level support and intelligence to Ukraine is tipping the balance toward the head on crash at the end of the tunnel that would bring about the crash of civilization if not the extinction of human life on Earth. It is possible that some other scenario will eventually and if you are a gambler you might like to check that out. It does fail a conservative approach to simply stopping the war, ending sanctions on Russia and letting Western Europe and Russia slug it out. A Russian/European nuclear war might involve fewer than 100 nukes- perhaps 30 in each direction- and just bring the planet a decade or two of hard time and casualties of fewer than 2 billion.
