Showing posts with label cost. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cost. Show all posts

18 September 2026

Why Fund the Ukraine War and Complain About the Smaller Cost of the Iran War?

I am not sure why the Congress and Presidents feel happy about spending $200 billion in Ukraine and complain about $38 billion in the Iran conflict. Each are bad conflicts for several reasons including loss of life and business via sanctions. Europe seems to be the winners with ongoing expansion in the old world and possibly adding Canada to their swag bag. Iran at least is an existential threat with missiles and nuclear program. 

Russia alternatively has numerous times sought good relations with the United States and just wants historical justice for its legitimate land claims to Eastern Ukraine that were taken by the west when its military power was comatose in the transition from Soviet Communist power. Democrats and Republican sycophants imagine Iran will resume peace and harmony if they just defund the conflict. 

That is as non rational as defunding police. If KSM were tried in Oregon the Governor would commute any sentence if convicted as one did for a serial killer that had only been convicted several times for auto theft, assault, etc. KSM may request a change of venue. Maybe the California Governor will find a kill switch for the conflicts as he expects to make a kill switch for AI that the thinking programs will be too stupid to solve or be boosted past by a disgruntled programmer.

Muslim suicide bombers would not be so willing to kill themselves for the cause if they knew that the promise of 72 virgins was probably a mistranslation of 72 white grapes. Young suicide bombers would care less for killing themselves for a fruit basket in paradise. Iranian extremists will not go away to a kinder, gentler social environment if the U.S. military transitions to farther remove.

What is needed for the Iran situation is a better plan to stifle the IRGC and its control over the Persian Gulf Islands and oil export terminals. Unfortunately Iran’s sales of oil needs to be entirely stopped and that nation transition to solar power to curb greenhouse gas emissions.

All of those sanctions on Russia including the new one that will place a 100% tariff on nations buying Russian oil and gas cost American consumers directly. Keeping Russian oil and gas off the international market will drive up the cost of fuel in the U.S. And if China and India have to pay more so will Americans buying products imported from China and India. If China and India keeping buying Russian energy products and incur the 100% federal tariff, domestic consumer costs in the U.S.A. may double. For the rich in Congress and the White House those are trivial concerns; the Ukraine war is a money maker for the defense industry and Europe is looking to expand its power in a last gasp of colonialism stimulated by the rise of the European Union. People like the late Senator L Graham were clueless on Russian and possible world history and saw only the Atlantic horizon and exporting weapons made in the S.E. as the only viable option. There is a cost to electing dummies to run government. With enough of them to form a critical mass the U.S. government becomes as stupid in its choices and directions as the Roman Empire was with a succession of bad emperors. The EU has yet to produce its requisite Napoleon or Hitler for leadership so far, yet with the tools of the EU and N.A.T.O. the prospect looms like a distant tempest.


02 March 2026

Iran-American War to Drive Up per-Barrel Oil Price

The Iranian war is driving up oil prices and as a logical consequence of the Persian Gulf largely being off-line since oil tankers travelling it have a high risk of being sunk by Iranian missiles and drones. With Iran's oil and gas offline as well as Russian oil being proscribed with sanctions, and Venezuelan oil under the control of the U.S. government indirectly, several primary global oil supplies are temporarily reduced. Supply and demand is still in effect with the basic mitigating element being invention; shortages stimulate inventions of alternative product.

Ukraine stopped Russian petroleum products from flowing to Hungary and the Czech Republic, and plans to destroy pipelines in the Black Sea reaching Turkey- those are additional ways to put the squeeze upon Europe and Russia. Because Iran attacked a British naval post on Cyprus the U.K. has said it will support the U.S.-Israel war on Iran. Germany has also expressed an intention to provide support to the forces seeking to stop Iran's nuclear weapons development. The high cost of gas at the pump in the U.S.A. may agitate Democrats and Zelensky hoping for a Republican loss in the mid-term elections in November, yet the cost of oil may be plummeting before November when voters decide with wallets and purses hoping Democrats as the sole alternative bring a deflating effect for consumers; though billions and billions would be spent on day care.

France has decided to make a nuclear shell game with nuclear armed aircraft that it will loan to other European countries including it seems, Ukraine. That is a radical attack on the nuclear containment policy that was created during the Cold War and supported by Russians and Americans. France has created a loose nukes policy that will make it very difficult for Russia to track possible nuclear attack vectors upon Moscow and other strategic targets. The French policy, given the short time span that a hypersonic nuclear armed missile needs to reach Moscow, will induct a policy revision for Moscow's use of nuclear weapons; response to attack may not leave enough time to counterattack. So preemptive first strikes on select European targets may become reflexive for Russia's strategic nuclear force. The french nuclear airportr shell game will make it challenging to know which aircraft taking flight is making a nuclear strike on Russia. If such aircraft are located in Ukraine- given Zelenski's record, Russia may have little choice besides engaging in nuclear war with Europe. SInce Russia hasn't used nuclear weapons in the war and had no intention to except for real disaster, the French Loose nukes shell game policy is in no way a deterrent. It is instead a provocation for a first strike by Russia on Paris and additional nuclear targets of France.

Saudi Arabia's main refining and loading terminal is also on the Persian Gulf- Ras Tanura. Ninety percent of Saudi oil is exported through the Persian Gulf and with Saudi oil shipments temporarily suspended because of drone attacks on the refinery and on ships, even with a surfeit of world oil production normally, during the Iran and Ukraine wars oil prices are anticipated to go north of 100 dollars per barrel. That is good news for red states and yet not too bad for blue as they move more toward electric vehicles. The cost of sunshine is not expected to increase in 2026 unless more cloudy days develop.




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