8/9/17

Leadership Ostrich Evolution; North Korea Unbound

North Korean communist forces under the direction of the Dictator Kim Jong Un have steadily progressed to develop nuclear weapons, miniaturize them and build ICBMs. North Korea may have as many as twenty nuclear weapons already and is near to completing its ICBM system to attack American targets. Democrats and the media prefer the ostrich policy of diplomacy to war. Let’s consider that.

The ostrich position would declare diplomacy a moderate success if the nuclear issue disappears from the news media for some time even while nuclear weapons and missile upgrades continue in North Korea.  http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/lawmakers-slam-trumps-promise-unleash-fire-fury-north/story?id=49099484

North Korea has every reason to believe the United States cannot launch a pre-emptive nuclear and conventional strike because it lacks the will. Like a gun as a deterrent to crime, it is only effective if the criminal believes the victim would use it. North Korea knows the United States has not the will to begin a war to end its nuclear build-up

Nearly every media article about the nuclear development problem in North Korea and the possibilities of war concludes with the information that war must be avoided and diplomacy pursued. Yet Dictator Kim Un has already won the dimplomacy contest; he can continue to develop nuclear weapons and missiles as he pleases.

So one might consider what a world in two or three years would be like if North Korea continues building nuclear weapons and launchers. It might have 200-300 nuclear weapons and several dozen ICBMs. It is quite possible that former communists look to North Korea as the wedge to rebuild a communist world. 

Some believe that if the U.S. sanctioned China and forbid it from having students attend U.S. colleges that could force it to get North Korea to disarm. That policy though diplomacy would itself fail to be enacted by Congress as well as being ineffective at making North Korea stop building nukes and ICBMs.  Globalists look to China as the golden consumer-producer land of the future.

Would U.S. policy change when North Korea has a couple hundred nukes and ICBMs? The ostrich policy would say not at all; it could be ignored because Dictator Kim is a reasonable man. Diplomacy would lead the U.S.A. To expose its throat to a North Korea that could launch whenever it liked or at leas vaporize Japan.

One must wonder what Japan would think of the North Korean nuclear development. Would it be moral to prevent Japan from developing its own counter-nuclear missile force and nukes, or would Americans be uncomfortable with that? How would a nuclear proliferation policy in Asia stabilize or destabilize U.S. influence? Would the U.S.A. seem like a paper twit with missiles and no balls to use them except in retaliation?

If war eventually does occur with North Korea after it has developed a few hundred nukes and missiles U.S. policy makers may wish they had acted to stop the nuclear development earlier, even as a few US. cities are smoldering ruins and world economic leadership has shifted entirely to China.

8/8/17

Trump Imprecates Shakespeare to N. Career Nuclear Threat?

Dictator Kim has a fast nuclear weapons and missile deployment pace that seems head toward a launh even though democrats say its all President Trumps fault because he is irritating the dictator with rough language. President Trump said that North Korea would be met with fire and fury and some in error said that Trump misquoted Shakespeare's sound and fury line from the Tempest. Instead I think the phrase most likelier did not come from Romeo and Juliet...

Ihttp://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/08/trump-north-korea-warning-241409

t could be from Shakespeare's Romeo and Juliet Act 3 scene 1 “Away to heaven, respective lenity, “And fire-ey'd fury be my conduct now !" Trump may care about the U.S.A. and North Korean nuclear development so much that he isn't yet ready to send food and a State Depatment dancer

Chicago Sues to Resume Sanctuary from Lawfulness


In order to create their own laws conformal to their own desires several cities in America have declared themselves sanctuaries for law-breaking illegal aliens- presumably excluding members of ISIS and Al Qaeda. http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/sanctuary-city-suit-chicago-doesn-t-want-go-back-abuses-n790406

Should cities be free to declare themselves sanctuaries from select federal laws?


Chicago in the day of Al Capone could have declared itself a sanctuary city from paying federal taxes and that leading citizen would not have been rudely arrested and deprived of his liberty by the U.S. Government.

This was a tactically excellent move by the Mayor to advance the global plutocratic imperial interests. That is creating sanctuaroes for lawlessness would radically acellerate sedulous disregard for constitutional protections of U.S. citizens inclusive of freedom to be free from illegal labor competion. Chicago is probably stuffed with cheap illegal labor and the party of slavery could not relenquish that any more than the confederacy.

Breaking up the U.S.A. a piece or city at a time with sanctuaries will bring down the rights to of actual citizens so theey can adjust to becoming subjects of the plutocratic global imperium.

8/6/17

Poverty, Punishment and U.S. Prisons

The majority of people in prison are poor. Why is that? Most perpetrate crimes while young. Youth hadn’t the time to become established and save money in comparison to older people. Sometimes they choose crimes for profit. Civil law, common law and customary and Islamic legal systems; there are several forms through which socieities seek justice. Africa alone has 3000 tribes, 1000 languages and a mix of legal systems. The U.S.A. has a common law and adversarial legal system rather than a civil systems loosely derived from Rome whereby a magistrate is judge and prosecutor. The U.S. system of an adversarial prosecutor covers fewer than 20% of the people of the world, yet it has evolved to a reasonably conservative compassionate status compared to what went before yet it has a long way to go to increase its efficiency at finding the golden means of justice for all.

Youth may lack good avenues for non-criminal progress living in poor social environments. Poor social environments may have higher crime rates and illegal drug use as aspects of their street economics that are lacking from affluent neighborhoods without criminal gangs.

At Rikers Island N.Y. 80% of the incarcerated are awaiting trial. That is, they haven't been convicted of anything. Half of the incarcerated couldn't afford a bail of $1000 or less. 

The poor may have no comparable ability with the prosperous to afford competent legal representation. Court fines and cost may be trivial to the prosperous and debilitating to the poor. Far too many vulnerable and even socially incompetent people perpetrating misdemeanors may be incarcerated to the cost of society and themselves. Plainly a separate system of corrective remedies for the lowest classes of misdemeanors that do not require incarceration should replace more harsh and ineffective corrections structures. Public service instead of fines and detoxification instead of jail are two obvious courses to pursue that would perhaps save public expense.

Incarcerated prisoners experience some of the depersonalization of military inductees with their private life and identity removed to a certain extent by rude and impersonal treatment. Having one’s freedom taken away is a drastic response by society to crimes against other people. That wasn’t too well noted by the empaneled round table. They have no right in that traditional criterion to expect any family life at all as if they were checking into a hotel. I am sure a better system could and should be designed, yet that it still the underlying premise. They have no more rights than when the sovereign throws a prisoner under a trap door in a dungeon crawl space in the darkness (as at Warwick castle). I am sure the courts have enumerated the rights of prisoners as citizens yet I just don’t know what those are really. I guess they might be limited to things like guards cannot commit crimes on prisoners.

Plainly society has allowed prisons to exist that allow prisoners (and some guards) to commit crimes on other prisoners. I would think that the state could be sued for making prisoners subject to crimes by other prisoners in a reasonable criterion, yet since they obviously haven’t the prisoners must have so little rights as citizens that they cannot expect to be free from violent crimes enabled by the state in that has every reasonable expectation that any given prisoners has a very good chance of being made a victim of crime even with grievous bodily harm.

Prisoners may be transferred as guards or administrators deem without notice or consent of the prisoners. Perhaps that is not only to destroy any sense of personal security by to prevent possibility for designing an escape plan.

Compulsory naked inspections by guards would tend to damage an inmate’s psychological sense of security in person-hood. That could affect behavior of prisoners upon parole as they may have been conditioned to treat other people with a similar degree of disrespect, or perhaps a higher degree of disrespect than those that weren’t incarcerated. It does at any rate seem a somewhat sado-masochistic perversion that should be avoided if possible with some sort of evolution to a security system that does not require human contact (indirect electronic and camera viewing for authority audiences to assure that there are no weapons or dope under the nutsack.

In reading the Gulag Archipelago of Solzhenitsyn I found the conditions were far more harsh than that of U.S. prisons generally-especially the initial arrest and interrogation at the Lubyanka. In the Kolyma District prisoners were stacked outside the transit hut like cord wood after freezing to death. Crowded into a space without room to sit down and with the temperature about -45 f and wearing like clothes without coats and half starved the prisoners were offered cold salt herring to eat. Those that ate the fish became thirsty and drank ice water, and that temperature lowered their marginal body core temperature and they died of hypothermia and were piled outside.

One needs to value the comparative better state of U.S. prisons to many of those around the world. Later I will quote from a book about African prisons.
Psychological torture at the Lubyanka included the routine practices of cold concrete floor and no furniture, being doused with ice water, being forbidden to sleep and things as trivial as not being allowed to put hands under ones blanket if given a bunk and blanket. Lights might never go off, and if they did be turned back on if one fell asleep. Of course beatings were given to encourage confessions. There are innumerable methods for psychological torture in and out of prison by both legal and illegal authorities I suspect.

Incarceration is a dumbing down environment as well as a sobering up (for some). The court costs for pre-trial time were hidden for me and seem absurd; the arrested did not choose to be incarcerated and should not be responsible for that even if found guilty later. The debt presumption seems consistent with a free market system however that system presumes a free rather than a duressed contractual relationship.

The incarcerated suffer high social opportunity costs (an economics concept) rather than correction in some cases. I think it worth reminding that not all of the arrested are the same socially or behaviorally. It is true that many may be poor, yet poverty is a condition of the young rather than the old generally, at least at the start of adult life, so the arrested who happen to be under 35 and delinquent from work and stable environment may be young and poor logically.

The prison system can't fix a badly designed economic system that permits poverty to exist, yet neither should one blame poverty for the choices people make to use drugs, alcohol and commit crimes. Marijuana and meth each cause brain damage to some extent. Laws to prevent that and encourage people to benefit society rather than to be degenerate and contribute to social decline are worth keeping. Some of the young don't realize that life is not just partying. It is necessary for the poor to eschew drugs and alcohol entirely, keep one's wits about and get a job. When they don't they may steal to pay for addictions that those already prosperous have no trouble affording.

A society that does not encourage employers to hire those out of work longest with tax credits cannot be serious about reducing poverty . Pre-trial incarceration, money bail and plea bargaining were the three biggest challenges that one public defender mentioned as problem, and they are related to the poverty of those incarcerated. To some it is evident the poor aren’t able to afford adequate and equal legal rights of defense as those not poor.

I was reading about prison conditions in Africa in order to be able to make some comparison with those of the United States. Africa like South America generally has a higher murder rate than the U.S.A. yet with a lower incarceration rate. Probably they lack the will or financial capacity to expand prisons some of which, like those of Portuguese Angola were built long ago during the colonial era, from 1570 and likely need to be replaced.


Following is a description from the book Crime and Punishment around the World, Volume 1: Africa and the Middle East; of prison conditions in Angola (in 1995)- (quote from page 6 on Angola)- “Most of these facilities are overcrowded with substandard conditions. Though prison conditions vary widely, some of these conditions include poor diet, sanitation, and medical facilities; prolonged interrogation, beatings, torture, and inhumane treatment; curtailment of visits by family and friends arbitrarily; and holding inmates incommunicado or moving them from one prison to another without notifying the family.”

People certainly do not want criminals running amok, yet one neither wants injustice to prevail such that poor people are locked up so people can have jobs in a system that requires that a pool of people be input and held like cattle for profit. Neither should parole conditions be unrealistic such as expecting that those released into a sub-zero city without possibility of work should be required to remain in that area instead of someplace with moderate temperatures.

Finally,if one wants to keep the poor from being drafted into the prison system there must be better odds for staying out of it through quality employment with good-paying jobs and affordable places to live that don't require a lifetime to afford.

Elements of Hidden Costs to Individuals of Incarceration

Incarceration is a dumbing down environment as well as a sobering up (for some). The court costs for pre-trial time were hidden for me and seem absurd; the arrested did not choose to be incarcerated and should not be responsible for that even if found guilty later. The debt presumption seems consistent with a free market system however that system presumes a free rather than a duressed contractual relationship.

The incarcerated suffer high social opportunity costs (an economics concept) rather than correction in some cases. I think it worth reminding that not all of the arrested are the same socially or behaviorally. It is true that many may be poor, yet poverty is a condition of the young rather than the old generally, at least at the start of adult life, so the arrested who happen to be under 35 and delinquent from work and stable environment may be young and poor logically.

Family life may be destroyed for the incarcerated. Yet that is again variegated per the circumstance of the individual, and society already has been attacking the family and Christian values for a few decades. Since the Supreme Court forced homosexual marriage on the nation one might wonder if prisoners that are homosexual should be segregated from themselves so they don't enjoy incarceration, and straight prisoners shouldn't be free from incarceration with homosexuals.

The prison system can't fix a badly designed economic system that permits poverty to exist, yet neither should one blame poverty for the choices people make to use drugs, alcohol and commit crimes. Marijuana and meth each cause brain damage to some extent. Laws to prevent that and encourage people to benefit society rather than to be degenerate and contribute to social decline are worth keeping. Some of the young don't realize that life is not just partying. It is necessary for the poor to eschew drugs and alcohol entirely, keep one's wits about and get a job. When they don't they may steal to pay for addictions that those already prosperous have no trouble affording.

A society that does not encourage employers to hire those out of work longest with tax credits cannot be serious about reducing poverty . Pre-trial incarceration, money bail and plea bargaining were the three biggest challenges that one public defender mentioned as problem, and they are related to the poverty of those incarcerated. TO some it is evident the poor aren’t able to afford adequate and equal legal rights of defense as those not poor.


8/5/17

Magnus Carlsen Drops Complex Game at Sinquefeld Rnd 4

World chess champion Magnus Carlsen with the white pieces lost a complex game to the Mart Scurll of chess- French expert Monsieur LaGrave. Carlsen made a small blunder drawing the shark MVL to pounce just before the time control, and duped the French into a disadvantaged position; a rare experience for the French crust of crusts player.

Yet within several moves the world champion made an unintentional large blundere losing a rook throwing Sesse, the obnoxious chess engine into a frenzy and Monseur LaGrave into a pastry-like contentedness. The Frenchman went on to win in an unremarkable yet tedious endgame smirking after the handshake with the champion who dropped in ratings 2.1 points while LaGrave rose more than 10.


President Trump Lacks Hillary's Teflon Exterior

President Trump lack's Hillary's teflon exterior; people throw a lot of mud and it sticks- for a while. Maybe it is the cyclical rate of fire of media mud keeping the President coated; its very high.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/special-counsel-mueller-impanels-washington-grand-jury-in-russia-probe-1501788287

http://www.npr.org/2017/08/05/541370064/trump-s-back-to-culture-wars-something-is-going-on

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/report-mueller-seeking-wh-documents-on-flynn-as-part-of-special-counsels-investigation/

Hillary Clinton had so many ethics and even criminal issues over the years that it boggles the mind- yet nothing ever came of it and she was rarely investigated. Alternatively the mainstremem media has had an intifadah of headlines with generally specious allegations since inauguration day.

President Trump's administration is likely to run its full course yet the media seem to wish to impeach him if possible, and certain foreigns are howling with dump Trump sentiment. He might be doing a good job to stimulate such hatred.

The Trump administration is also under fire... 

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/05/sessions-leaks-media-attack-worse-thank-you-think-215465

Pragmatism , Utilitarianism and Taking a Poisoned Pawn En Passant

  The war in Ukraine, from the Biden-Blinken perspective, is necessary for two or three reasons of a dubious moral character. One is that fu...