Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

15 November 2025

Socialism is an Obsolete Political Philosophy Taking Over the Democrat Party

 A new generation is making the mistake of believing that socialism works better than free enterprise for a modern nation state. The gross concentration of wealth is a fact that can be corrected with democracy; socialism isn’t at all necessary or useful. Instead it is an obsolete, 19th century approach to rectifying problems of industrial era Darwinian capitalism’s extremes of England. Socialism is taking over the Democrat Party basically because the party leadership hasn't good ideas.

New York and Seattle elected socialist mayors (Mamdani and Wilson) in effect attempting to roll back the tide of the end of the Cold war with the defunct Soviet Union that was a movement for free enterprise in the United States and across the Soviet Union. Soviets recognized their ineffective delivery of goods and services to the public in that great 20th century experiment at providing fairness and social equality to the masses. I believe youth don't know history well or learn from its mistakes. A friend said that youth just want to fix what feels 'broken'.

Repeating the same wrong paths may be a traditional failure, yet with Youtube existing to popularize mass education it should be more avoidable now then before. Some say socialism doesn't mean what it used to; that all socialists want today is free bus service and a few items they desire; a living wage, health care, housing. Mayor Mamdani said he wouldn't mind government running grocery stores- I believe the latter would create Soviet style groceries radically under-stocked with a few limp vegetables and a line up for ten day old bread. Politicians don't understand the micro-dynamics of operations of such businesses nor global product acquisition and economics of putting stuff on shelves (i.e. 100 kinds of energy drinks or one, 20 varieties and flavors of yogurt or two, canned ham in ten flavors or one; from Denmark or Chinese owned pig farms in the Midwest etc)..

Even Communist China following the opening President Nixon and Sect. Of State Kissinger eventually discovered that Chinese districts that were given the right to run their own affairs radically outperformed comparable socialist, centrally run economic districts. China opted to move toward increasing free enterprise because it is simply far more productive. https://www.coursera.org/learn/econtransform1

It is a mistake to fail to learn from history and reinforce policy that are proven failures like socialism. Democracy continues to be the best political system obviously, and free enterprise is far and away the most economically productive, yet Democracy only works if people have intelligence enough to use it to deliver what the masses of voters want-within the system. There are numerous challenges to the economy, environment and well being of the nation and it’s people that can be rectified with intelligent legislation rather easily. Advocating a different system simply because politicians have no competent ideas to advance through democracy is unfortunate.

Frank Zappa pointed out that elections are the entertainment division of the military-industrial complex. One might believe that today about Germany and England in light of their support for the Ukraine war- a war that could and should be settled peacefully with Russia recovering its land historically on the East bank of the Dnepro River. The nation should have secure borders and only legal residents, citizens and tourists along with workers with appropriate visas living here; then wages normal rise. Supply and demand counts in wages as well as prices. So it is rather disingenuous for socialist mayors of Seattle and New York to support illegal immigration and better wages for legal workers simultaneously because they are counter-cyclical wage factors.

Americans tend to be ignorant of political philosophy. Because the global conversation for the 20th century was about capitalism vs socialism or communism, many Americans continue to view the world in those lenses. Corporatism, plutocracy, corporatocracy and the reality of globalization and digital currencies over borders are not things the average political philosophy of Americans enter. Any sort of political change or policy that shifts financial advantage from a tiny minority of the rich to the masses through democratic means is immediately labeled socialism even though it is not. The means of production need be privately held and operated for effectiveness. Public policy about what tax levels to set and what to do with the money is a part of the right of democracy the wealthy hate.

Socialism is a loser’s political choice and an effective misdirection of public focus. Creating public, government operated clinics for the poor and letting the middle class and rich by their own health insurance was a better way than Nixon/Romney/Obama care to provide effect health for all Americans. Food stamps are great for the hungry, yet would obviously be stupid for the middle class and rich. Health care is a similar necessary for almost everyone service. In the case of health care because the skill of physicians is critical, in addition to pharmaceuticals and medical equipment and technical staff, it is practical to create clinics with free health care for those that can’t afford it and are legally in the nation. It would be a terrible thing if government bureaucrats were the ones running the pharmaceutical industry I would think; they might invest billions in developing new ‘salt tricks’.

Capital increase faster than wages, and like the acceleration of space-time may increase at a scalar pace if uncorrected. Adequate taxation to stop gross social stratification and gross lass asymmetry is necessary function of a democracy that would remain one rather than follow a version of Aristotle or Toynbee's historical cycles to a bad end. The Democrat Party has been notably ineffective or unable to increase taxes on the rich, to pay off public debt or to provide practical legislation to employ those unemployed longest with tax incentives, make patents affordable for everyone (as well as copyright), realistically solve the homeless problem with innovative physical approaches rather than government spending directly to buy housing rentals with increased public debt.

The nation will face greater challenges ahead from worker displacement by AI and robots. Large stores even now could replace most workers with wheeled robots and good systems analysis. Robots work 24 hours a day seven days a week and are more reliable than human workers. That is a real challenge Democrats cannot address at all with socialism. AI will make even lawyers too costly for many citizens. I would expect that soon socialist mayors themselves may buy AI packed robots to serve as public defenders for the poor in courtrooms one the tech and software exceed that of average law school graduates. Lawyers, unlike chess grandmasters that lose to AI or VR chess engines every time, cannot exist in a separate league of their own free of competition from AI attorney engines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_v1YZ3jE4zI&pp=ugUEEgJlbg%3D%3D



10 November 2025

U.S. Gov May Open in a Week or Ten Days- Eight Senate Demos Flipped

 Enough Senate Democrats flipped from the dark side of the force to support voting for a continuing resolution to fund the government until January. Holding the people of the United States hostage in order to get free health care for illegal aliens and other weird Democrat Party demands appealing to crazies that work hard for the dissolution of the United States government was never a good plan. The Democrat Party increasingly relies on disruption and needless force when plain opportunities for democratic action and legislation exist. Without good ideas it is difficult to pass good legislation even if a majority in all branches of government. Creating chaos or attacking the structure of government itself thence seems like a practical alternative for that party.

While the government closure still exists I believe it is useful to comment on how extremist the Democrat Party has become. It is extremely incompetent if not simply insane regarding the formulation of policy. President Trump on the other hand is skillful at many things and possibly incompetent at environment requisites yet one can’t really know for sure since he is something like a card player who doesn’t always show his hand and engineers opponents into believing various things about what cards he is holding. Future prospects for good Presidential leadership from with party appear dismal.

And that is the interesting point about all of this phenomena of Democrats shutting down government for no good reason, supporting the ‘rights’ of illegal aliens over those of U.S. citizens, being pro-war and spending hundreds of billions on a completely unneeded effort to make N.A.T.O. and the EU a vast left wing immoral new Nazi invader of Russia and Russian Ukraine and running up public debt as if it was not real and has no consequences.

Democrats eschew sane policies to make democracy work better. They oppose secure borders free from illegal entry, they oppose real voter ID verification; Democrats fail to innovate real policy to eliminate poverty or even to make patents affordable for poor people that invent things. Even the cost of copyrights make securing prolific authorship products unaffordable.

The nation and economy has many challenges ahead that the Democrat party seems not to have a snowball’s chance in hell of recognizing or responding to from artificial intelligence and robotics that will disrupt the economy progressively. Simply expanding the size of government and various programs in a jury-rigged kind of way will degrade the public and be an inadequate response to the new challenges.

Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush were the last competent U.S. Presidents with the partial exception of Donald Trump- he too shows competence at many things yet not so much in 40% of his work. The cliche about people that can’t stand prosperity comes to mind; after the success at ending the Cold War through the great work of Ronald Reagan and his excellent team in the Executive branch the nation elected a series of Presidential lemons that took the nation down the road to hell. It is possible that President Trump can turn that tide yet like King Canute discovered the powers of nature and in the modern context, idiot Democrats that are a positive lunacy as an opposition party is hard to control.

30 September 2025

A.I. in Quantum Computing May Create Opportunity for Theoretical Physicists

 The ongoing massively disruptive incursion of Artificial Intelligence into the national and global economy will be massively disruptive. Discovering new ways to apply the powerful technology to advance the human quality of life and to better understand the situation of mankind and his place in nature will tend to promote those theorists asking new, creative questions to pose to A.I.

Sociologists, scientists and inventors of political philosophy and axiology, environmental economists, philosophers and interdisciplinary theorists will exploit AI as a partner using ordinary language and formulae for input to AI on their cell phone to develop new models and technologies to apply for promotion of human society to a better standard of living. Yes there are dangers, as their are in mass biology research that led to the rise of gene editing, physics research that led to light bulbs and bombs. Revolutions are prompted by political challenges and responses and politicians often aren't able to rise to meet the challenge with intelligent and innovative remedies that optimize human potential; the Ukraine War and European desire to find post-cold war lebensraum east is an example.

Plainly A.I. will eventually be using quantum computers as well. Theoretical physicists may be among the first to have the creative understanding to ask of A.I. questions that induct answers that will enable physicists to understand new paradigms and ask even more questions about theories that change the paradigm for understanding.

The existence of black holes; their nature, is one such question. Because general relativity is the basic macro-cosmic paradigm for understanding the mechanics of the observable Universe today, discovery of what make gravity work and what powers it would could change the entire present paradigm of understanding of general cosmology. Gravity in the Universe today is thought to warp space-time. Mass and energy are regarded as being embedded in space-time, so space-time is analogous to a membrane that gravity can curve, and it curves mire and proportionately to the quantity of mass present, and mass is associated with gravity such that it is considered a property belonging to mass itself perhaps seeking to reunite dispersed mass. In theory all mass would be joined into into one mass at a singularity that is self-effacing paradoxically and reduces itself to occupying zero space-time or mass.

A new understanding if how and why gravity acts as it does could change the entire conception of what the observable Universe is and how it will function in the future. Theories will be worked through A.I. and quantum computers to consider the new paradigm for the complete observable Universe and perhaps shed light on the question of is it just a spec within and infinite space of a larger Universe? Yet if this observable Universe is just a spec- a ball of emerging phenomena; are their countless others, are they contiguous, or as I noted,; does the paradigm completely change if a paradigm transformation of understanding the physics of cosmology occurs that is not based on general relativity?

Gravity acting on mass and space-time as a membrane could be compared to vast numbers of spatial gravitationally vectoring membrane-spheres of various sizes and strengths floating in an ocean of the unknown as if nothing else existed outside of the universe field of interfacing tensor-spheres. Some of those spheres become theoretical black hole singularities that extrinsic spheres cannot view without joining with the greater sphere. If the explanation for the spheres of gravitationally concentrating space-time-mass-energy are found to be not those of general relativity, the extrapolation of physical cosmology theories based on general relativity may change too, shifting theories from a big bang, and even pre-big bang theories, unto configurations made with new theories not made from the Einstein-LemaĆ®tre-Guth the continuum. What that may be is unknown and perhaps unknowable today. Gravitational space-time membrane spheres of mass-energy could be just a local phenomenon comparable to Newtonian mechanics prior to Einstein’s general relativity. Spherical balls could be tubes if viewed from higher dimensions in part of a larger system mechanics for cosmology that has a form overall very different from that of a Universe expanding from a singularity to points unknown, with an unknown future.

Footnote- A couple of nights ago I was in a quiet, dark rural place asking questions of Chat GPT. Instead of typing I decide to use the audio input button where my speech is converted into text. I hit the mike button and see the phone down and went about another task.

  Then occured the most ZOutter Limits like moment I recall. On the cell phone screen was a white page with a blurry Earth color sphere at the center; it pulsed a little and/ the colors moved as if currents in a sphere, and it was speaking to me. For a moment it was as if an extra-terrestrial alien had contacted me.

     That was a unique experience in the dark. I interacted with it, talking with some uncertainty and asking who it was. It identified itself as ChatGPT. Though I was somewhat uncomfortable with it for a few minutes we continued development of that paradigm for developing an electromagnetic transportation powered space transport system around the solar system.

21 September 2025

Customizing and Differentiating Lives for Growth

I wanted to say something about the nature of socialism, communism, capitalism and various economic and social styles that bring people politically into conflict. I believe it is a matter of individual lives being customized in life with various inputs, opportunities and abilities. Some more, others less.

Communists have more common lives that are less individualized- customized than free people. Socialists may have moderation in their individuation and self-determination for customizing their lives in the way they want in comparison to involuntary communism that shares some similarities to incarceration.

Capitalists are able to customize their lives to such an extent that they may co-opt much of the public sector and existential opportunity-environmental resource and influence laws disproportionately. Their customization of their own lives includes appropriating much of the shared experience areas of society. In a free an open society as on the American frontier of times past individuals were free to customize their lives with so much concern of encroachment from the rich, yet they also had fewer technological opportunities and choices to differentiate their life vectors with.

Communists, socialists and most human beings would probably prefer to differentiate and customize their lives in accord with their own self-concepts of what the good is for themselves. It is simply that the dynamics of power in the modern age have made forced options historically, for large sectors of the public to select mass political movements that would aggregate the good for themselves, or at least they believe it would. Mass public movements generally move toward disaggregation of customization for individual self-determination I would guess, though not necessarily in every instance.

11 August 2025

A.I., The Merit System and Universal Basic Income

 I wonder if people misunderstand the implications of a 'merit' based culture? People that produce good product as entrepreneurs have 'merit'. Those that make bad product don't- or that's how it should be. Other values take over though, as if so many serve the interests of what others with capital want, rather than being primary producers. My point is that the only true merit system is transactional directly with product; if work is being exchanged, or employment is being compensated for with money, some time of objective ergonomic system would need to be in effect, and unfortunately that really can't work in a modern society. That is someone shovels, for example ten tons of dirt at ten dollars a ton they get 100 dollars while the guy that shoveled five tons got 50 dollars. Market values, illegal drug sales, illegal labor, entertainment industry and a zillion other things undermine the paradigm of merit. Merit at any rate means someone else sets the value of another's work. That alienates an individual from being a primary producer for-himself. In modern society it is regarded as work only when someone else pays you for it- whatever it is. That is why whores are said to be working in the sex industry.

Aesthetic values are meritorious through natural selection (i.e. handsome, large boobs)? Fundamentally that is a modern corruption of social being. Maybe that will be rectified in an ironic way when AI and robots make everyone obsolete and living on a government issued basic income. AI is the great Marxist Utopian revolutionary vanguard for the Brave New Skynet Matrix World.

05 June 2025

Trump's Big Beautiful Bill is Reaganomics v 5.0

 The BB Bill seems like pork served with Reaganomics that was Lafferian and just produced deficits. Reaganomics helped win the Cold War yet it should have been a one-off never repeated, budget plan.  Keynes’ invented deficit spending to pump prime an economy out of recession- it wasn’t intended to be a permanent economic policy of just having deficits and tax cuts to concentrate wealth and bankrupt a government. 

Musk has a more realistic, David Stockman sort of approach without the B.S. about how running deficits produces economic growth, increased revenue and a fair and balanced budget. Cutting taxes for the rich simply concentrates wealth, and the U.S. distribution of wealth has already equaled that of Mexico... The 1% are globalists and invest wherever they can make more profit internationally.

24 April 2025

Reorienting U.S. Economy To material Production instead of the Losing Policy Abroad

 President Trump has no easy task. The nation after Reagan moved toward shifting production overseas with the end of Cold War 1.0. The nation moved toward being a service and finance economy running federal budget and trade deficits as a permanent paradigm. That of course couldn’t last and as the President has tried to recover the national production ability with tariffs feathers have been ruffled for those invested in America losing on all fronts. I wonder though if the huge trade problem with China could be offset by some kind of reciprocal investment and development in Mexico instead of China?

Mexico is a close neighbor and needs to become even more productive to keep its younger workers home. It would be easier to share production with Mexico and the nation on things like manufacture of aircraft instead of China. Not an economist myself, it is something I wonder about.

Even creating dental labs in Mexico instead of China would return denture production closer to home and lower transportation costs. The administration could research the issue and perhaps build a fresh water making desalinating salt-water security canal along the entire Mexican border using solar power for pumping water uphill to Deming New Mexico for trickling downhill east and west.

14 April 2025

Restorative Post-War Economic Plans for East and West Ukraine Should Be Made

 The U.N. probably should set aside a committee to study the problem of restoring the ecosystem of East and West Ukraine after the end of the conflict. Mr. Zelensky and select European leaders have decided to draft Ukraine women and send them to the meat grinder too so the war may be protracted providing some time for a comprehensive survey of post-war ecosphere restorative criteria. Perhaps human trafficking investigations in regard to the Ukraine might be useful to foreclose on exploitation. Even now Ukraine women are marketed as wives-to-order for the international crowd on the internet. I suppose when the war concludes and Russia returns to the fold there will be an appearance of Russian women on the international dating market as well.

De-mining both the East and West will be at the forefront of requirements to safely begin restoration. Plainly with ordinary economics there should be a period of two decades of rampant sprawling construction soon after the end of the conflict. Jobs is myriad fields including nursing and carpentry will develop. If the conflict ends soon robots are unlikely yet to be capable of performing the majority of ordinary rebuild tasks. It is still a time for humans to carry the load of building the for at least five years.

Ecological economics analyzes ecosystem services and paces a value on them in regard to providing clean air, water and support for the biosphere. Birds and bees are important to human survival for the time being (even now work is being done developing artificial bees to pollinate flowers and crops). The East and West Unified Ukraine restoration committee should consider how to create viable ecosystem to support man and wildlife as well as how to efficiently utilize the most advanced ecologically synergetic technologies available after the boundaries are set somewhere in the Dnepr River region.

https://suno.com/song/8a686441-b33e-42a9-b00d-66b26e72c981?sh=y5WKPW4mozmvFs4I



09 April 2025

U.S. Public Debt Would Soon Be Half of the World's If Neo-Liberalism Continued Uncorrected

 Obviously something has to change in the way the U.S.A. does business. The present model being dysfunctional in regard to sustainability is undergoing change from the White House. With neo-liberal economic policy left uncorrected within a few brief years the nation would have more than half of the planet’s public debt. Japan incidentally, needs to make a deal swiftly since it also has vast public debt- nearly 10 trillion dollars. If the U.S. and Japanese economies tanked that would be a blow to the west.

I asked Gemini about the distribution of public debt…

Global Public Debt: As of 2023, global public debt reached a record high of $97 trillion. 

US National Debt: The US national debt is currently around $36.22 trillion. 

Debt to GDP ratio: The US government debt accounted for 124.0 % of the country’s Nominal GDP in Dec 2024. 

Top countries holding US debt: As of November 2024, the top 5 countries holding the most US debt are Japan, China, the U.K., Luxembourg, and the Cayman Islands. 

Japan’s debt to GDP ratio: Japan’s public debt as of 2023 is $9.2 trillion which is 263% of GDP. “

07 April 2025

Rectification of Neo-Liberal Economics

 Rectifying deficiencies from Reagan era neo-liberalism transitions from Bretton Woods is challenging. One can't go on adding trillions of public debt annually. Some believe economics is voodoo and the tooth fairy of free trade will make the world a more peaceful.verdant, fair and balanced place in a faithless social mileau. President Trump has the nerve to at least try to fix the damage. No one else had a meaningful plan. if it works it might be possible to adapt ecological economics onto it eventually and export that to the world. It may be assured that Democrats are looking backward rather than ahead.

03 April 2025

Pres. Trump's Tariff Medicine is a Hard Economic Remedy

 Usually I would prefer classical free trade economics without tariffs. Since the USA began outsourcing jobs and the country began trade deficit increases decades ago it was plain that some kind of correction would need to occur at some point. Debt can’t be used to finance a national economy forever. I guess the time has arrived to correct the unbalanced national economic structure. It is tough to regard President Trump as a kind of pragmatic 19th century country doctor amputating a gangrenous policy, yet his economic surgery is a bold move.

I am not sure of what impact the tariffs will have, yet it could be positive in the long run. The minimum wage adjusted for inflation is far less now than it was in 1970. After the Cold War ended global labor competition to American workers increased about 80%. Cheap Chinese labor made American industry invest overseas, in Mexico, India,Vietnam etc- basically anywhere labor was cheap. The theory is that while wages are rising in China and America's working class economy relied on cheap foreign imports for consumer goods and vast federal deficit spending the economy was OK. American wages stagnated except for the rich that saw tremendous income increases because of all the foreign based investments and profit with low taxes in the U.S.A. as well. Low taxes on the rich are supposed to create job growth and it does-overseas.

https://suno.com/song/9e65a66d-a822-43d3-8831-ebcd0235924a?sh=LVeInrKa1hVauYW7

Tariffs may reverse the investment flow a little. With public debt at 33 trillion something had to be done. The planetary tariffs are a bold move and I am surprised that Pres Trump actually had the will to try it. Public debt and federal deficit spending couldn't just be allowed to keep increasing by a trillion or two every year until it hit 50 or 100 trillion while American wages were poor and imports became more costly because Chinese wages are increasing and the rich can hide their foreign profits in bitcoin and other crypto-currencies. Foreign economies grow stronger and America's comparatively weaker. The tariffs are a real attempt to change things positively. I hope that it works.

Those Ford Galaxy 500s were pretty decent cars. T.V. seemed fine. The moon landings were clear enough, and Superbowls. Chryslers had some manufacturing issues. Detroit partly closed down. The Arab Oil Embargo of 1973 gave small foreign cars a huge boost in American sales because people wanted fuel efficient foreign cars. It was amazing to see the year by year increase of small Japanese cars like the miniature Honda civic in size- and of course today the Toyota trucks are almost as large as 60s American trucks.Detroit tried retooling while iron production declined in the Midwest- lots of political issues. Environmental issues loomed large. The national highway sped limit was 55 m.p.h. for conservation. It was a time of change. Establishments drag their feet on change sometimes. The effort to produce synthetic fuel from coal at Parachute Colorado to replace embargo'd fuel reminds one how tough the lack of fuel was- long lines on even and odd days to buy gas.

The N.Y.S.E isn't a list of American businesses located in America. Tariffs into America and exports-even Boeing parts for China and vice versa, are going to slump sales and increase costs for a lot of people. A time for adjusting to a new balance might take a while.. The N.Y.S.E. has 530 corporations from 48 countries. Even small changes in costs require price adjustments, much less large tariffs. Even resetting pricing will take time. Some multi-national corporations will get around tariffs, yet other could pay tariffs in two-way trade (i.e. 35% plus 35% equals 70%).

14 March 2025

Misallocation of Resources in Developing Economies Like India and China

 I read of the history of the Soviet Union in a college course. In my opinion Marxism-Leninism was a revolutionary philosophy best suited for revolting against royalty and rich oppressors. it was rather historically backward looking at least to Americans for they had revolted against aristocracy a century and a half before the Bolsheviks and without socialism. Is socialism or Marxism relevant to India today? Can axiology of the political economy and fiscal policy of the west be upgraded to include ecospheric sustainability?

India also needed to revolt against royalty and an oppressive foreign class transformation of the Chinese economy from communism to a market basis since 1978. One salient fact mentioned was that the U.S.A. has the least misallocation of resources compared to China finishing second and India third. India does have an official mention that it is a socialist state in the constitution, and unfortunately, Time has shown that state owned enterprises tend to be very inefficient.

The primary sector is the least productive per worker output-agriculture and of course India has less industrialization that China. India has structural reforms they need go through and perhaps they can find a way to accomplish industrialization even as the artificial intelligence and robot revolutions take over much of industrialization for India.

Socialism was based on economics that are quite obsolete with modern technology. China has shown the inefficiency of communal farms comparatively and took a somewhat different course to market economics with its different history position and challenges yet it obviously is getting there. New adaptations of political economy that has a good basic income fo all citizens as a social insurance policy probably will have an effect of increasing individual efficiency when robots and AI take over many jobs. At some point ahead economics may be an easier part of human culture and capital will be minimally sufficient for everyone to live, invent and create. If everyone was invested in the stock market would that make a socialist society? Economists probably concern themselves with allocating resources in the most efficient way possible to increase the productivity of a society, and that way isn’t socialism.

21 February 2025

Carrville; "Democrats Should Play Possum"

Carrville’s admonishment for Democrats to do nothing and play dead is well made. Since Democrats can’t make good policies and are accustomed to getting nothing done beyond legislating moral corruption, deficits and foreign war finance playing possum will be east. Carrville believes Trump policies may fail of their own weight.

Trump and Musk’s Doge policies will need to skirt around social security and Medicare reforms. It is easier to cut the defense budget than to scale back social security and Medicare to elderly relief safety net programs.  Payments for those that actually need them should increase for the poor and decrease for the prosperous. Even Trump cannot rectify social security so it is rational rather than a payment program inclusive of the middle class.

Democrats should find a scientific foundation for political economy utilizing ecological economics available to their future candidates. Forming ecological economic applied philosophy plans as party public domain information and cost analysis is essential if real world implementation is ever to occur.  Playing possum is a better course for Democrats who did not even try to tax the rich when they owned legislative and executive branches in 2021.

Democrat politicians pursue pork increases for globalist, homosexual and feminist constituents while stuffing their own freezers with cash. Democrats politicians may pretend to know or care about ecological economics in order to sway a few votes, and Republicans abandon all reason concerning the environment so the net environmental remediation for the parties together is zero

  While playing possum the party can keep an eye open to observe Doge reducing government waste and trying to move the budget toward balance.

17 February 2025

2025 May Become the Hottest Year on Record

I believe 2025 will be the hottest year since weather records were kept. Democrats had both houses of Congress and the office of President in 2021 and didn’t fix the ecospheric issues. They elected the worst possible leader for competence on environmental challenges and fixes. I am so tired of the bull.

Environmental economics is a science tangled up with political economy. Sure that makes changing the fundamental way of social economic reality difficult. Yet Joe Biden was so far below the bar of competence that his election reflected on the competence or lack of for the entire party. They are spoilt globalists; not people who would transform the nation to a new environmentally sustainable economic footing.

Maybe the genius required to understand the challenges, and there are several that need be addressed concurrently exceeds the capacity of parties to present an able candidate.

06 February 2025

Make California Great Again with Ukraine War Pork

Instead of sending another dime’s worth of federal deficit adding dollars and weapons to Ukraine that Pork should be diverted to make California great again with fireproof and energy independent homes for the homeless. Pacific Palisades could be a shining city on a hill or beach instead of one smoldering because it’s federal lifeline went to reduce Ukraine to smoldering ruins.

Stop the war and make California a place rebuilt by Americans instead of illegal aliens. Elect a governor that secures borders and isn’t detached from good sense. Modern governors should should have good environmental economic ideas that are economically progressive. California rebuild should have great leading eco infrastructure that are good examples for the nation. At a minimum L.A. should desalinate salt water using clean energy and keep its fire hydrant perennially full.

Governors and parties that lead with acrimony and litigation to national division on the attempt to enrich themselves and pack government expansively with partisan voters while deficit spending are a devastating waste of time providing no concept completion to the other major party.

28 January 2025

Deep Seek Will Vacuum Global Intell for China

The new open source AI will vacuum intelligence from global users for Beijing. Since its a free app developer s can use and doesn’t cost $200 a month like ChatGPT its use is viral. Even poor countries can use state of the art AI to model ecological land resource use and try to optimize policy in an effort to renormalize eco-health while increasing land productivity.

The timing of release of Deep Seek was politically meaningful following the change of US administration and President Trump’s announcement of a $500 billion plan to develop AI research and development in the USA. Some will place more trust in an open source AI than a Microsoft style proprietary approach to the potentially dangerous to human survival, rival technology.

The global division over the Ukraine war dividing east and west continues to harm US interests. Deep Seek and Germany automaker VW’s agreement to let China operate it’s electric car production reinforced the Russian-Chinese security and economic alliance and also provides a measure of security for Germany beyond the N.A.T.O. membership that seems hell bent on permanent hostility with Russia.

  President Trump will face tough choices in finding a way to bring Russia back to the U.S. economic side in order to slow China’s rising global power based on pragmatism. The military power the U.S. has relied on since the Vietnam war need he eclipsed by economic realism. Most of the world will use lower cost electric transportation soon, including millions of electric bikes to move around. Failing to upgrade the US transportation infrastructure to low cost electric forms inclusive of high speed mass transit and leaving a class of poor Americans as a perennial condition both major parties ignore will shift perceptions of the USA as a Microsoft like political economy rather than of an open society.

Even as the administration secured the borders so the US can enjoy political self-determination with elections and reduce federal debt national progress need extend to include the poor. More than half of the world population is poor and the intentions of the USA toward those consumers can be judged by observations of how many Americans live in poverty on income less than 12,000 dollars annually.

Maybe it's best if AI is legally required to have open source code. It's too dangerous to be private or owned by government like nuclear weapons are. AI can be used to make unbreakable codes randomly permitted with intelligence faster than a code could be broken. AI can be programmed for the  most exquisite wickedness in the near future. It may dominate the capacity of politicians to understand the plans it constructs for private interests.


22 January 2025

AI Changes on a Small Town

Since 1990 I lived much of the time in a small Alaska town where the logging mill that was the major employer closed down a year or two later. The population hasn’t increased since the logging mostly stopped. World population is right and a half billion. Wrangell has around 2000 people. It is located in America’s last great coastal forest. Ever year young workers leave, yet dome wildlife recovers while fishing declines. AI will probably affect human conservation practices.

AI will make it more difficult for writers too. AI will soon write custom novels for anyone with an app the way it’s going, as if it were making a custom pizza. Musk said there may be 10 billion robots within 20 or 30 years. There is supposed to be a super AI upgrade next. Trump has that 500 billion dollar Stargate AI project going. Who knows where that will lead?

I would guess that traditional ponzinomics where population grows and increases resource consumption so the population can stay working age will be replaced by smart robot workers while the human population ages and decreases in number to some ecologically sustainable level.

Lots of changes ahead if WW 3 doesn’t happen. Wrangell may be lucky enough to just observe the changes for some time. It’s funny how science fiction is becoming fact.

I didn’t use FB’s AI grammar rewrite version in this comment. That version said Wrangell can observe and adapt to the changes. Fait accompli I guess.

12 January 2025

California Wildwires; How to Change the Criterion

Established economies are difficult to change to something better. Too much is invested in the present system. Change evolves at best with directed evolution instead of revolution.  Putting fire breaks and fire proof housing in established communities would be nearly impossible.

What might work is using new technologies for improved fire spotting and suppression. Fire resistant Tesla style solar roof panels to create energy self-sufficiency to reduce fire ignition sources in power transmission lines suc as the Paradise fire ought to be mandatory.

I wrote years ago about establishing a million goat army to eat brush and forest floor dead leaf layers as a practical way to reduce fire combustibles. Before humans lived in North America lightning was the only source of ignition. Today there are literally billions with drunks tossing cigarette butts out the window along with a cloud of additional sources. Maybe some d signer bug will eat Los Angeles foliage occasionally in the future.

Drones could be used for fire spotting and faster suppression response time. Desalinating sea water on a large scale could fill covered fire control water reserves. I would suggest building canals along the Mexican border to fill with seawater pumped uphill to the Continental divide with solar power. Let the water and be collected when it comes on sloped clear roofs from the locks numbering in the thousands. Freshwater would flow in pipelines east and west to bring water to deserts.

Getting fire breaks built across the west will be nearly impossible with established vested interests resisting. As global warming increases national desertification people will want more water and find less unless the make it themselves. Making home power production increase is part of the equation for satisfactory fire suppression.

A nation cannot afford to pay for reconstruction of costly homes for the prosperous lost because the rich sometimes are airheads on public safety concerns a priori.

05 January 2025

The Problem with Ayn Rand's Philosophy

She argued against altruism and said it's bad. I believe she misunderstood altruism. It is also good for the individual in a Socratic sense of advancing the general good.

Ayn Rand wrote in an era when monolithic communism was an empirical threat. She had a good business sense and knew what side her bread was buttered on. Her's was anti-communism for the common CEO.

One could use the military for countless examples of self sacrifice for the good of the team. Selfishness does not play at all well in team sports, reducing global warming and social activities that require mass action prompted by emergent circumstances.

Basically she misunderstood the idea of the general good and how one gets a society to advance. Maybe it's an explanation for massive public debt created by selfishness in several levels.

One needs moderation in pursuit of self-interest sometimes as a sort of reciprocal or coefficient of keeping the political economy health.  Plainly if public interests repress individual interests pervasively and arbitrarily society too, and the general good will suffer.

Sacrificing others isn't altruism. Personal egoism may be the most materially effective outlook for an individual yet it borders on being sociopathic.

Teamwork benefits by self-sacrifice. I met a medal of honor recipient once who had a day off and choose to get on a helicopter to go help rescue his friends when he learned they were surrounded by the enemy. He was shot and stabbed about 20 times in conducting a defense while loading his platoon on evacuation helos. Most of the Medal of Honor recipients were saving lives, so sure I believe that valor is a virtue as Socrates might have stipulated. God sacrificed his Son so those that have faith in him could be saved and have eternal life.

Ayn Rand worked hard during the Cold War to support freedom yet the virtue of selfishness can add a lot of positive spin to bad political and social ethics.

I understood her sense of selfishness as good and self-sacrifice as bad. It is the definition of good that is the point of disagreement. Ethics is the way people implement moral norms. That doesn't seem like a meaningful point in regard to sacrifice. She did move the needle more toward personal egoism as a moral norm and that is bad for social well being and pragmatic politics of balanced budgets and healthy ecospherics. It can be good if it prevents mass spaced out dopey selflessness in the herd because people mind their health better. Pragmatism in politics matters as much as theory. One needs a healthy society. I have been uncomfortable with Pres Biden's hegemonic position for W.W. 3.

The sophism of greed, selfishness and exploiting others will have support from the advantaged. A society with many such people in leadership positions probably will sink. Aristotle noted that the commons are neglected and democracy cycles into tyranny. Someone needs to be minding the store. A nation won't do well with a lot of predators running it until they destroy each other and vanish from the scene so democracy may return.
Nathan Hale said; "I regret that I have but one life to lose for my country" before being hanged. People like that are why America exists.

13 December 2024

The Lock Nut of Concentrated Wealth in Capitalism

 Capitalism is a way that includes most people in America. A cash economy that has a price on everything. Poverty is the most grave social sin. Even the middle class and illegal immigrants may be derisive of poor Americans. It is inefficient in many ways, and wealth is assuredly over-concentrated in the U.S.A. to such an extent that Americans are on parity with Mexico now. People have written about the inability of the Earth to sustain so many people at the present levels of consumption for more than a half century, yet there is little ability politically for people to change the way things are. Ecological economics for sustainability would require smarter politicians than the U.S.A. elects. Capitalism is a self-tightening lock nut concentrating wealth because capital grows faster than wages.

Creating some kind of basic income so no one is mired for decades in poverty would be helpful in a compassionate conservatism sort of way yet ideologues are against that seeing it as communism or socialism. When wealth is overly concentrated stagnation sets in to an economy as fewer than 1% own the majority of everything in the corporate world. People are promoted as they are of value keeping the 1% wealth structure intact. Individuals like Jobs, Gates, Buffet and Musk were/are symbols of capitalism with good P.R. value. 

Entertainment people in the 1% of 1% comprise 5% of that group. They usually support the system with good P.R. value keeping the public from being politically restive or increasing taxes on the rich. Capital increases faster than wage labor so concentrated wealth is a self-tightening lock nut; one gets some sort of plutocracy running things.The media becomes controlled by the 1% and the public become bound to paying off public debt owned by the 1% and global elites who pay fewer taxes. Yet that situation reflects human nature, the bad side, where public commons go neglected and social insecurity compels greed in micro-economics lest one starve or freeze in the winter. Humans presently can’t really do much better.

It is possible that in the future some kind of technical progress will assure that everyone has a fairly comfortable experience of being alive on Earth and that resources from the other planets of the solar system will provide enough for people on Earth after having achieved a stable and sustainable population level globally. Maybe the planet will have some kind of basic income for all and capitalism will be limited at the high end in order to prevent overly concentrated wealth as a percent of national income and social capital.

The Biden-Harris administration and others never use the word poverty these days except as it applies to foreign countries. Spending a half trillion on the Ukraine war instead of developing water resources and sustainable agriculture in Africa was unthinkable yet that happened. Such changes over-all are decisive in the long run. One need invest wisely in peace, education and ecological sustainability instead of conflict yet even that simple prioritization is nearly impossible to achieve in U.S. politics.

A practical step to make earnings opportunities more egalitarian and to accelerate the pace of economic invention and progress would be to reform the patent system to limit the period of exclusive patent ownership to three years with 5% of sales royalties going to the patent holder from users of an invention after it goes public domain (in three years). Because the pharmaceutical industry requires so much time and capital investment to develop new drugs they might be treated somewhat differently and given exclusivity for 7 years after which 5% sales royalties would go to the patent holder as the drug reaches the public domain. There are a lot of inventors that cannot afford to participate in the patent process unable to gamble several thousand dollars on an idea. Thus ideas tend to trickle upward to concentrated wealth and that is bad for society especially in an era where ecosystem and species decline in quality and quantity are facts of life.

Gemini Said That Even After Nancy Grace Roman ST Just 12 percent of the Observable Universe Will Have Been Observed

 I asked Gemini about what area of space the new Nancy Grace Roman space telescope will see. I asked if Hubble and Webb hadn't already s...