Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

4/3/25

Pres. Trump's Tariff Medicine is a Hard Economic Remedy

 Usually I would prefer classical free trade economics without tariffs. Since the USA began outsourcing jobs and the country began trade deficit increases decades ago it was plain that some kind of correction would need to occur at some point. Debt can’t be used to finance a national economy forever. I guess the time has arrived to correct the unbalanced national economic structure. It is tough to regard President Trump as a kind of pragmatic 19th century country doctor amputating a gangrenous policy, yet his economic surgery is a bold move.

I am not sure of what impact the tariffs will have, yet it could be positive in the long run. The minimum wage adjusted for inflation is far less now than it was in 1970. After the Cold War ended global labor competition to American workers increased about 80%. Cheap Chinese labor made American industry invest overseas, in Mexico, India,Vietnam etc- basically anywhere labor was cheap. The theory is that while wages are rising in China and America's working class economy relied on cheap foreign imports for consumer goods and vast federal deficit spending the economy was OK. American wages stagnated except for the rich that saw tremendous income increases because of all the foreign based investments and profit with low taxes in the U.S.A. as well. Low taxes on the rich are supposed to create job growth and it does-overseas.

https://suno.com/song/9e65a66d-a822-43d3-8831-ebcd0235924a?sh=LVeInrKa1hVauYW7

Tariffs may reverse the investment flow a little. With public debt at 33 trillion something had to be done. The planetary tariffs are a bold move and I am surprised that Pres Trump actually had the will to try it. Public debt and federal deficit spending couldn't just be allowed to keep increasing by a trillion or two every year until it hit 50 or 100 trillion while American wages were poor and imports became more costly because Chinese wages are increasing and the rich can hide their foreign profits in bitcoin and other crypto-currencies. Foreign economies grow stronger and America's comparatively weaker. The tariffs are a real attempt to change things positively. I hope that it works.

Those Ford Galaxy 500s were pretty decent cars. T.V. seemed fine. The moon landings were clear enough, and Superbowls. Chryslers had some manufacturing issues. Detroit partly closed down. The Arab Oil Embargo of 1973 gave small foreign cars a huge boost in American sales because people wanted fuel efficient foreign cars. It was amazing to see the year by year increase of small Japanese cars like the miniature Honda civic in size- and of course today the Toyota trucks are almost as large as 60s American trucks.Detroit tried retooling while iron production declined in the Midwest- lots of political issues. Environmental issues loomed large. The national highway sped limit was 55 m.p.h. for conservation. It was a time of change. Establishments drag their feet on change sometimes. The effort to produce synthetic fuel from coal at Parachute Colorado to replace embargo'd fuel reminds one how tough the lack of fuel was- long lines on even and odd days to buy gas.

The N.Y.S.E isn't a list of American businesses located in America. Tariffs into America and exports-even Boeing parts for China and vice versa, are going to slump sales and increase costs for a lot of people. A time for adjusting to a new balance might take a while.. The N.Y.S.E. has 530 corporations from 48 countries. Even small changes in costs require price adjustments, much less large tariffs. Even resetting pricing will take time. Some multi-national corporations will get around tariffs, yet other could pay tariffs in two-way trade (i.e. 35% plus 35% equals 70%).

3/14/25

Misallocation of Resources in Developing Economies Like India and China

 I read of the history of the Soviet Union in a college course. In my opinion Marxism-Leninism was a revolutionary philosophy best suited for revolting against royalty and rich oppressors. it was rather historically backward looking at least to Americans for they had revolted against aristocracy a century and a half before the Bolsheviks and without socialism. Is socialism or Marxism relevant to India today? Can axiology of the political economy and fiscal policy of the west be upgraded to include ecospheric sustainability?

India also needed to revolt against royalty and an oppressive foreign class transformation of the Chinese economy from communism to a market basis since 1978. One salient fact mentioned was that the U.S.A. has the least misallocation of resources compared to China finishing second and India third. India does have an official mention that it is a socialist state in the constitution, and unfortunately, Time has shown that state owned enterprises tend to be very inefficient.

The primary sector is the least productive per worker output-agriculture and of course India has less industrialization that China. India has structural reforms they need go through and perhaps they can find a way to accomplish industrialization even as the artificial intelligence and robot revolutions take over much of industrialization for India.

Socialism was based on economics that are quite obsolete with modern technology. China has shown the inefficiency of communal farms comparatively and took a somewhat different course to market economics with its different history position and challenges yet it obviously is getting there. New adaptations of political economy that has a good basic income fo all citizens as a social insurance policy probably will have an effect of increasing individual efficiency when robots and AI take over many jobs. At some point ahead economics may be an easier part of human culture and capital will be minimally sufficient for everyone to live, invent and create. If everyone was invested in the stock market would that make a socialist society? Economists probably concern themselves with allocating resources in the most efficient way possible to increase the productivity of a society, and that way isn’t socialism.

2/21/25

Carrville; "Democrats Should Play Possum"

Carrville’s admonishment for Democrats to do nothing and play dead is well made. Since Democrats can’t make good policies and are accustomed to getting nothing done beyond legislating moral corruption, deficits and foreign war finance playing possum will be east. Carrville believes Trump policies may fail of their own weight.

Trump and Musk’s Doge policies will need to skirt around social security and Medicare reforms. It is easier to cut the defense budget than to scale back social security and Medicare to elderly relief safety net programs.  Payments for those that actually need them should increase for the poor and decrease for the prosperous. Even Trump cannot rectify social security so it is rational rather than a payment program inclusive of the middle class.

Democrats should find a scientific foundation for political economy utilizing ecological economics available to their future candidates. Forming ecological economic applied philosophy plans as party public domain information and cost analysis is essential if real world implementation is ever to occur.  Playing possum is a better course for Democrats who did not even try to tax the rich when they owned legislative and executive branches in 2021.

Democrat politicians pursue pork increases for globalist, homosexual and feminist constituents while stuffing their own freezers with cash. Democrats politicians may pretend to know or care about ecological economics in order to sway a few votes, and Republicans abandon all reason concerning the environment so the net environmental remediation for the parties together is zero

  While playing possum the party can keep an eye open to observe Doge reducing government waste and trying to move the budget toward balance.

2/17/25

2025 May Become the Hottest Year on Record

I believe 2025 will be the hottest year since weather records were kept. Democrats had both houses of Congress and the office of President in 2021 and didn’t fix the ecospheric issues. They elected the worst possible leader for competence on environmental challenges and fixes. I am so tired of the bull.

Environmental economics is a science tangled up with political economy. Sure that makes changing the fundamental way of social economic reality difficult. Yet Joe Biden was so far below the bar of competence that his election reflected on the competence or lack of for the entire party. They are spoilt globalists; not people who would transform the nation to a new environmentally sustainable economic footing.

Maybe the genius required to understand the challenges, and there are several that need be addressed concurrently exceeds the capacity of parties to present an able candidate.

2/6/25

Make California Great Again with Ukraine War Pork

Instead of sending another dime’s worth of federal deficit adding dollars and weapons to Ukraine that Pork should be diverted to make California great again with fireproof and energy independent homes for the homeless. Pacific Palisades could be a shining city on a hill or beach instead of one smoldering because it’s federal lifeline went to reduce Ukraine to smoldering ruins.

Stop the war and make California a place rebuilt by Americans instead of illegal aliens. Elect a governor that secures borders and isn’t detached from good sense. Modern governors should should have good environmental economic ideas that are economically progressive. California rebuild should have great leading eco infrastructure that are good examples for the nation. At a minimum L.A. should desalinate salt water using clean energy and keep its fire hydrant perennially full.

Governors and parties that lead with acrimony and litigation to national division on the attempt to enrich themselves and pack government expansively with partisan voters while deficit spending are a devastating waste of time providing no concept completion to the other major party.

1/28/25

Deep Seek Will Vacuum Global Intell for China

The new open source AI will vacuum intelligence from global users for Beijing. Since its a free app developer s can use and doesn’t cost $200 a month like ChatGPT its use is viral. Even poor countries can use state of the art AI to model ecological land resource use and try to optimize policy in an effort to renormalize eco-health while increasing land productivity.

The timing of release of Deep Seek was politically meaningful following the change of US administration and President Trump’s announcement of a $500 billion plan to develop AI research and development in the USA. Some will place more trust in an open source AI than a Microsoft style proprietary approach to the potentially dangerous to human survival, rival technology.

The global division over the Ukraine war dividing east and west continues to harm US interests. Deep Seek and Germany automaker VW’s agreement to let China operate it’s electric car production reinforced the Russian-Chinese security and economic alliance and also provides a measure of security for Germany beyond the N.A.T.O. membership that seems hell bent on permanent hostility with Russia.

  President Trump will face tough choices in finding a way to bring Russia back to the U.S. economic side in order to slow China’s rising global power based on pragmatism. The military power the U.S. has relied on since the Vietnam war need he eclipsed by economic realism. Most of the world will use lower cost electric transportation soon, including millions of electric bikes to move around. Failing to upgrade the US transportation infrastructure to low cost electric forms inclusive of high speed mass transit and leaving a class of poor Americans as a perennial condition both major parties ignore will shift perceptions of the USA as a Microsoft like political economy rather than of an open society.

Even as the administration secured the borders so the US can enjoy political self-determination with elections and reduce federal debt national progress need extend to include the poor. More than half of the world population is poor and the intentions of the USA toward those consumers can be judged by observations of how many Americans live in poverty on income less than 12,000 dollars annually.

Maybe it's best if AI is legally required to have open source code. It's too dangerous to be private or owned by government like nuclear weapons are. AI can be used to make unbreakable codes randomly permitted with intelligence faster than a code could be broken. AI can be programmed for the  most exquisite wickedness in the near future. It may dominate the capacity of politicians to understand the plans it constructs for private interests.


1/22/25

AI Changes on a Small Town

Since 1990 I lived much of the time in a small Alaska town where the logging mill that was the major employer closed down a year or two later. The population hasn’t increased since the logging mostly stopped. World population is right and a half billion. Wrangell has around 2000 people. It is located in America’s last great coastal forest. Ever year young workers leave, yet dome wildlife recovers while fishing declines. AI will probably affect human conservation practices.

AI will make it more difficult for writers too. AI will soon write custom novels for anyone with an app the way it’s going, as if it were making a custom pizza. Musk said there may be 10 billion robots within 20 or 30 years. There is supposed to be a super AI upgrade next. Trump has that 500 billion dollar Stargate AI project going. Who knows where that will lead?

I would guess that traditional ponzinomics where population grows and increases resource consumption so the population can stay working age will be replaced by smart robot workers while the human population ages and decreases in number to some ecologically sustainable level.

Lots of changes ahead if WW 3 doesn’t happen. Wrangell may be lucky enough to just observe the changes for some time. It’s funny how science fiction is becoming fact.

I didn’t use FB’s AI grammar rewrite version in this comment. That version said Wrangell can observe and adapt to the changes. Fait accompli I guess.

1/12/25

California Wildwires; How to Change the Criterion

Established economies are difficult to change to something better. Too much is invested in the present system. Change evolves at best with directed evolution instead of revolution.  Putting fire breaks and fire proof housing in established communities would be nearly impossible.

What might work is using new technologies for improved fire spotting and suppression. Fire resistant Tesla style solar roof panels to create energy self-sufficiency to reduce fire ignition sources in power transmission lines suc as the Paradise fire ought to be mandatory.

I wrote years ago about establishing a million goat army to eat brush and forest floor dead leaf layers as a practical way to reduce fire combustibles. Before humans lived in North America lightning was the only source of ignition. Today there are literally billions with drunks tossing cigarette butts out the window along with a cloud of additional sources. Maybe some d signer bug will eat Los Angeles foliage occasionally in the future.

Drones could be used for fire spotting and faster suppression response time. Desalinating sea water on a large scale could fill covered fire control water reserves. I would suggest building canals along the Mexican border to fill with seawater pumped uphill to the Continental divide with solar power. Let the water and be collected when it comes on sloped clear roofs from the locks numbering in the thousands. Freshwater would flow in pipelines east and west to bring water to deserts.

Getting fire breaks built across the west will be nearly impossible with established vested interests resisting. As global warming increases national desertification people will want more water and find less unless the make it themselves. Making home power production increase is part of the equation for satisfactory fire suppression.

A nation cannot afford to pay for reconstruction of costly homes for the prosperous lost because the rich sometimes are airheads on public safety concerns a priori.

1/5/25

The Problem with Ayn Rand's Philosophy

She argued against altruism and said it's bad. I believe she misunderstood altruism. It is also good for the individual in a Socratic sense of advancing the general good.

Ayn Rand wrote in an era when monolithic communism was an empirical threat. She had a good business sense and knew what side her bread was buttered on. Her's was anti-communism for the common CEO.

One could use the military for countless examples of self sacrifice for the good of the team. Selfishness does not play at all well in team sports, reducing global warming and social activities that require mass action prompted by emergent circumstances.

Basically she misunderstood the idea of the general good and how one gets a society to advance. Maybe it's an explanation for massive public debt created by selfishness in several levels.

One needs moderation in pursuit of self-interest sometimes as a sort of reciprocal or coefficient of keeping the political economy health.  Plainly if public interests repress individual interests pervasively and arbitrarily society too, and the general good will suffer.

Sacrificing others isn't altruism. Personal egoism may be the most materially effective outlook for an individual yet it borders on being sociopathic.

Teamwork benefits by self-sacrifice. I met a medal of honor recipient once who had a day off and choose to get on a helicopter to go help rescue his friends when he learned they were surrounded by the enemy. He was shot and stabbed about 20 times in conducting a defense while loading his platoon on evacuation helos. Most of the Medal of Honor recipients were saving lives, so sure I believe that valor is a virtue as Socrates might have stipulated. God sacrificed his Son so those that have faith in him could be saved and have eternal life.

Ayn Rand worked hard during the Cold War to support freedom yet the virtue of selfishness can add a lot of positive spin to bad political and social ethics.

I understood her sense of selfishness as good and self-sacrifice as bad. It is the definition of good that is the point of disagreement. Ethics is the way people implement moral norms. That doesn't seem like a meaningful point in regard to sacrifice. She did move the needle more toward personal egoism as a moral norm and that is bad for social well being and pragmatic politics of balanced budgets and healthy ecospherics. It can be good if it prevents mass spaced out dopey selflessness in the herd because people mind their health better. Pragmatism in politics matters as much as theory. One needs a healthy society. I have been uncomfortable with Pres Biden's hegemonic position for W.W. 3.

The sophism of greed, selfishness and exploiting others will have support from the advantaged. A society with many such people in leadership positions probably will sink. Aristotle noted that the commons are neglected and democracy cycles into tyranny. Someone needs to be minding the store. A nation won't do well with a lot of predators running it until they destroy each other and vanish from the scene so democracy may return.
Nathan Hale said; "I regret that I have but one life to lose for my country" before being hanged. People like that are why America exists.

12/13/24

The Lock Nut of Concentrated Wealth in Capitalism

 Capitalism is a way that includes most people in America. A cash economy that has a price on everything. Poverty is the most grave social sin. Even the middle class and illegal immigrants may be derisive of poor Americans. It is inefficient in many ways, and wealth is assuredly over-concentrated in the U.S.A. to such an extent that Americans are on parity with Mexico now. People have written about the inability of the Earth to sustain so many people at the present levels of consumption for more than a half century, yet there is little ability politically for people to change the way things are. Ecological economics for sustainability would require smarter politicians than the U.S.A. elects. Capitalism is a self-tightening lock nut concentrating wealth because capital grows faster than wages.

Creating some kind of basic income so no one is mired for decades in poverty would be helpful in a compassionate conservatism sort of way yet ideologues are against that seeing it as communism or socialism. When wealth is overly concentrated stagnation sets in to an economy as fewer than 1% own the majority of everything in the corporate world. People are promoted as they are of value keeping the 1% wealth structure intact. Individuals like Jobs, Gates, Buffet and Musk were/are symbols of capitalism with good P.R. value. 

Entertainment people in the 1% of 1% comprise 5% of that group. They usually support the system with good P.R. value keeping the public from being politically restive or increasing taxes on the rich. Capital increases faster than wage labor so concentrated wealth is a self-tightening lock nut; one gets some sort of plutocracy running things.The media becomes controlled by the 1% and the public become bound to paying off public debt owned by the 1% and global elites who pay fewer taxes. Yet that situation reflects human nature, the bad side, where public commons go neglected and social insecurity compels greed in micro-economics lest one starve or freeze in the winter. Humans presently can’t really do much better.

It is possible that in the future some kind of technical progress will assure that everyone has a fairly comfortable experience of being alive on Earth and that resources from the other planets of the solar system will provide enough for people on Earth after having achieved a stable and sustainable population level globally. Maybe the planet will have some kind of basic income for all and capitalism will be limited at the high end in order to prevent overly concentrated wealth as a percent of national income and social capital.

The Biden-Harris administration and others never use the word poverty these days except as it applies to foreign countries. Spending a half trillion on the Ukraine war instead of developing water resources and sustainable agriculture in Africa was unthinkable yet that happened. Such changes over-all are decisive in the long run. One need invest wisely in peace, education and ecological sustainability instead of conflict yet even that simple prioritization is nearly impossible to achieve in U.S. politics.

A practical step to make earnings opportunities more egalitarian and to accelerate the pace of economic invention and progress would be to reform the patent system to limit the period of exclusive patent ownership to three years with 5% of sales royalties going to the patent holder from users of an invention after it goes public domain (in three years). Because the pharmaceutical industry requires so much time and capital investment to develop new drugs they might be treated somewhat differently and given exclusivity for 7 years after which 5% sales royalties would go to the patent holder as the drug reaches the public domain. There are a lot of inventors that cannot afford to participate in the patent process unable to gamble several thousand dollars on an idea. Thus ideas tend to trickle upward to concentrated wealth and that is bad for society especially in an era where ecosystem and species decline in quality and quantity are facts of life.

Scripture and Writing Misc History

 Deuteronomy 32:8-9 is “When the Most High gave the nations their inheritance,

when he divided all mankind,

he set up boundaries for the peoples

according to the number of the sons of Israel.[a]

9 For the Lord’s portion is his people,

Jacob his allotted inheritance”. That could be a reference to Jesus for Jacob was renamed Israel.

There is speculation that Avrm may have understood cuneiform as a scribe in Babylon. Moses knew hieroglyphics . Between the two there is a prospect that written material was carried forward.

I believe that Moses may have invented the aleph beth for he was well educated and had the time to do so. Oral histories were a parallel data mode merging eventually with writing. Scripture material as prophesied was gathered by King David into the Pentateuch. The J writer history is interesting. At some point during Solomon or Rehoboam’s court the material was collated.

It’s worth noting the destruction of Jerusalem as a religious center by the Babylonians during the Prophet Jeremiah’s day. Certainly Israelites were not always on the same page of devotion to God as one sees when the golden calf was poured in the wilderness. The Old Testament has so many warnings to Israel about being reprobate it need not be commented on.

https://archive.org/details/bookofj0000unse_f4f4


Degrees of Infinity and Unbelief

 It is comparable to flat Earthers I guess. People can’t believe that some infinities are greater than others. They dismiss the idea and say there is only one kind of infinity and that people worshiping math can’t see the wood for the pulp. One might rely to such incredulously…

People are worshiping math? That’s a startling development. Might have developed from those cardinal numbers and sets with some being greater than others. Cantor’s theorem undermined the Pope of a Largest Cardinal number. Here is the heretical theorem; “The cardinality of a set’s power set is strictly greater than the cardinality of the set itself”. That means there are an infinite number of degrees of infinity. The smallest infinity is subversive and known as Aleph-null.

There are infinities besides mathematical degrees of infinity such as physical and metaphysical. The metaphysical infinities cultists don’t worship degrees of mathematical infinities unless they have no choice. Instead they surge religiously into physicalism and prostrate themselves toward tax cuts.

Georg Cantor showed that some infinities are bigger than others. It’s a fascinating matter to consider -useful for contemplating cosmology in addition to Godel’s incompleteness theorems. https://www.transfinite.com/content/transfinitenumbers

Georg Cantor was brilliant and infinities were a topic mathematicians were recalcitrant about facing. He was oppressed by regular academia, although his work is accepted now. Wikipedia notes that he was “a mathematician who played a pivotal role in the creation of set theory, which has become a fundamental theory in mathematics. Cantor established the importance of one-to-one correspondence between the members of two sets, defined infinite and well-ordered sets, and proved that the real numbers are more numerous than the natural numbers. Cantor’s method of proof of this theorem implies the existence of an infinity of infinities. He defined the cardinal and ordinal numbers and their arithmetic. Cantor’s work is of great philosophical interest, a fact he was well aware of.[2]”

https://www.transfinite.com/content/transfinitenumbersI suppose that infinities in extra dimensional spaces are greater than those with fewer dimensions. Cantor’s theorem would still be valid. Pythagoreans would need to add a metaphysical liturgy to the mysteries.

I suppose that infinities in extra dimensional spaces are greater than those with fewer dimensions. Cantor’s theorem would still be valid. Pythagoreans would need to add a metaphysical liturgy to the mysteries.

As a practical matter and with math there are different places and kinds of infinity. One may of course refer to the greatest infinity holding all others- one containing the yo yo universe and all others theoretically even though God may not sponsor such a place because he is spirit and also can’t be defined in terms of distance or scale.

One might want to know if there is a finite or infinite number of regular polygons for making three-dimensional puzzles or for manufacturing containers.

https://youtu.be/ciM6wigZK0w?feature=shared

An equilateral triangle, square and the regular hexagon can fill a plain with no gaps, an infinite one, yet nothing else can. Infinity is an attribute that may be applied to some sets with real applicability. In exploring the shape of a structure or universe calculations for geometry and quantity may involve infinities of scale.

The Universe may have an open, closed or flat shape gravitationally speaking. If it is flat, the most popular model, it extends into infinity perhaps because there isn’t enough gravity to collapse it to a big crunch nor too little such that it would fly apart in expansion. Why could it be balanced just right if it is expanding from a singularity? One might think that  to be perfectly flat the universe should always have existed infinitely: and that is counter-intuitive to observations of a thermodynamic universe and general relativity.

There is a difference between physical and mathematical infinity. If quanta were infinitely divisible that would create issues. Maybe fields are infinitely divisible yet if so the field overall should lose strength as it subdivides. The system may conserve energy yet monism becoming pluralism may have a cost.

https://www.britannica.com/science/infinity-mathematics/Physical-infinities

https://www.astronomy.com/science/what-shape-is-the-universe/

Theological issues concerning infinity differ quite a bit from space-time concerns about infinity. They are different reference frames. Space-time of this observable universe according to the prevailing theory had a start at time=0. So if it is infinite is that way in one direction like a vector that has not yet achieved infinity. It is just 13.2 light years old and 93 billion light years in diameter. Space-time isn’t empty it is a field that expanded from T=0 in the current model. People have wondered about a theoretical empty volume containing matter at least since Heraclitus and Parmenides.

I think Giordano Bruno was burned as much for real politics as theology. The Inquisition was in full force in reaction to the half millennium war against Muslim invaders of Europe. The ruling powers were Christian and wanted any 5th column Muslims to swear allegiance to European values. Spain was only retaken in 1492, and Muslims attacked Vienna in 1529 and 1683. The Muslims m heresy problem and even the Orthodox Christian schism remained challenges to Habsburg authorities. If Europe was placid I doubt that Bruno would have burned. Science is a bit narcissist on that point in recent media. It was about secular political control. People still want secular political control…look at Ukraine.

First Cause of a Universe Misc

 Entropy requires existing things to run down, so that’s a non sequitur so far as causality goes for this poor Aquinian inquiry. David Hume made a good point about causality in dismissal of the relationship with effect. Generally one single item is not the sole cause of anything, except God perhaps whom cannot be said to have a necessary relationship in a physical sense to anything He wills to be. God is spirit and matter is substance, and the substance at its foundation is rather enigmatic rather than a matter that’s ineluctable.

Fields and their content are secondary phenomena of massless field particles entangled in the Higgs field. Entropy is the disassociation of order in that field; a unified field suppositionally that emerged through various phases. Wheeler wrote about retrocausality at any rate and if that exists it could be an amusing attribute for God.

A mind doesn’t seem to be a reflection of nature at all. Instead it is entirely different than matter in-itself and interprets sensations from nature or the state of the fields in which people cohere. People and minds add more to nature than exists in it. Nature is insensible generally with some life forms rising to awareness, Matter and the fields comprising; it unless God concerns Himself with it in some way, is completely dark noumena without rhyme or reason. A mind is not a reflection of that.The values of different points of view are determined by individuals.

Because people do not value all of those viewpoints equally some politicians are elected while others aren’t. That is democracy and market forces apply even concerning viewpoints. For example, Einstein’s viewpoint about relativity was more valued than Irwin Corrie’s generally. On truth theory, there is a social context for truth. One person communicates something to another and what they say should be verifiable as how the state of affairs is. ‘Reality’- a concept, is not so involved as is accuracy of language in communication.

Words can be used to describe nature, and people might agree a statement about it is true yet they all might be wrong about it. Human and social ideas about what is true or false may be wrong. Consider the diversity of opinion about global atmospheric heating or the seriousness of US. public dent reaching 34 trillion dollars. Sartre wrote about social reality in Being and Nothingness and The Critique of Dialectical Reason and noted that colonialists and various power groups sometimes have their own proprietary vocabulary and interpret reality-social reality differently than non-insider groups such as proletariats.

12/11/24

Limp Wristed US Foreign Policy Let's Turkey Take Imperial Control of Syria

Turkey formerly was the Imperial ruler over the Middle East. It lost that status during the First World War after the allied victory over Germany, Turkey and other Habsburg powers.  Turkey is the force behind the Syrian conquest by terrorist rebels affiliate with Al Qaeda and the Islamic State that are continuing the war on Kurds and their American supporters in Eastern Syria.

Plainly Turkey is unwilling to share Syria with Kurds and Israelis. Israel needs the southern third of Syria for a security zone and the Kurds finally should achieve enough living space to form their own nation joining with the Kurdish zone in Iraq in some kind of way acceptable to the Iraqi government.

The allied victory promised the Kurds their own nation at the end of WW1 and reneged on the promise.  Turkey has found an opportunity to overthrow the World War 1 loss of their Imperial Empire and conquer at least Syria to start with. Because of weak American comprehension of history a limp wristed foreign policy has taken the wrong side in the Ukraine war and let Turkey run amuck in Syria. When firing a large caliber foreign policy hand gun one should keep their wrist straight.

President-elect Donald Trump abandoned the Kurds during his first term and has expressed a non-interventionist policy for Syria. He may choose to throw Turkey to the wolves and be as callous as the lame duck Joe Biden in letting the bully Turkeys have their way in rubbing out The long suffering Kurds that have supported US interests time and time again in the Middle East.

12/9/24

It Mayn't be Possible to Know the Shape of the Universe

The Malament-Manchak theorem suggests that it isn’t really possible to know the global shape of the Universe after all. That shape would include space-time. Many would be initially unhappy yet realize later that the facts are good and better than the happiness of believing in Big Bang Theory if that is false. https://aeon.co/…/scientists-are-no-longer-sure-the…

https://www.sciencedirect.com/…/abs/pii/S1355219808000580 Malament-Manchak theorem.   God is eternal and one may believe or not that he could initiate waves or particles to appear to exist for sentients preceptors with a temporal beginning and end of experience. Phases of being may exist replete with space-time.

Crossing the Red Sea (Yam Suf)

The premise that happiness is the only good is quite superficial. It’s good to know things, and to be saved unto eternal life for those of faith, yet knowledge doesn’t always make one happy. To require that happiness attend everything good is to demand that the good is somewhat silly. One could be high on dope and very happy even as it ends one’s life. There may in fact be objective standards for what the good is that people are entirely unaware of yet that are nevertheless valid.

One might be unhappy to learn that the Big Bang didn’t really happen, if it is possible to exhaustively disprove that theory. The Malament-Manchak theorem suggests that it isn’t really possible to know the global shape of the Universe after all. It is so though that many would be initially unhappy yet realize later that the facts are good and better than the happiness of believing in Big Bang Theory. https://aeon.co/…/scientists-are-no-longer-sure-the…

Socrates might have noted that if happiness can be detached from any property then it isn’t actually a meaningful part of the property that one is happy about. If one stipulates that happiness is simply a state of affairs that is always good, and that nothing else is good, one might not only be unhappy about that determination, one might have no sense at all about value theories, nor belief that there is such a thing as the good that can exist for itself; even if the awareness of the presence of the good occurs simply within a mind stimulated by externally perceived objects or circumstances that have no element of happiness in them.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/…/abs/pii/S1355219808000580 Malament-Manchak theorem

Happiness Isn't the Sole Good

The premise that happiness is the only good is quite superficial. It’s good to know things, and to be saved unto eternal life for those of faith, yet knowledge doesn’t always make one happy. To require that happiness attend everything good is to demand that the good is somewhat silly. One could be high on dope and very happy even as it ends one’s life. There may in fact be objective standards for what the good is that people are entirely unaware of yet that are nevertheless valid.

One might be unhappy to learn that the Big Bang didn’t really happen, if it is possible to exhaustively disprove that theory. The Malament-Manchak theorem suggests that it isn’t really possible to know the global shape of the Universe after all. It is so though that many would be initially unhappy yet realize later that the facts are good and better than the happiness of believing in Big Bang Theory. https://aeon.co/…/scientists-are-no-longer-sure-the…

Socrates might have noted that if happiness can be detached from any property then it isn’t actually a meaningful part of the property that one is happy about. If one stipulates that happiness is simply a state of affairs that is always good, and that nothing else is good, one might not only be unhappy about that determination, one might have no sense at all about value theories, nor belief that there is such a thing as the good that can exist for itself; even if the awareness of the presence of the good occurs simply within a mind stimulated by externally perceived objects or circumstances that have no element of happiness in them.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/…/abs/pii/S1355219808000580 Malament-Manchak theorem

12/8/24

Echoes of a Dying Sphere v2 1

  This is an audio and video created by udio.com's AI from the lyrical prompt I made.



AI Considers the DOGE Program

I gave a prompt to an AI about the new DOGE program. The following is what it output.

“Title: The Doge Program: Making America Efficient Again

Panel 1:
(Trump, standing behind a podium in a press conference, holding up a poster with a shiba inu in a business suit labeled “Doge Program.”)
Trump: “Folks, we have a huge problem—our debt is out of control! It’s caused by three things: illegal aliens, lazy Americans, and foreign aid. But don’t worry, I’ve got the answer: the new Doge Program!”

Panel 2:
(A reporter raises their hand.)
Reporter: “Mr. President, what does Doge stand for?”
Trump: “It doesn’t stand for anything—it’s just smart branding. Everybody loves Doge. So efficient. Much budget-saving. Wow.”

Panel 3:
(Cut to a meeting of “Doge Program” bureaucrats: a golden retriever in glasses and a shiba inu in a tie sit at a desk piled high with budget spreadsheets.)
Golden Retriever: “First step—cut all funding to foreign countries, except for countries we like. That’s good budgeting, right?”
Shiba Inu: “Wow. Much patriotic. Such fiscal responsibility.”

Panel 4:
(Back at the press conference.)
Trump: “And the rich? Folks, let me tell you—they’re working so hard, they don’t even have time to spend their money! We’re cutting their taxes to save the government money. If we tax them less, there’s less paperwork. No brainer.”

Panel 5:
(A skeptical reporter raises an eyebrow.)
Reporter: “How does that actually cut government spending?”
Trump: “Listen, these are the best ideas. The best. You wouldn’t understand. Doge understands.”

Panel 6:
(A shiba inu in the background barks enthusiastically while wearing a MAGA hat.)
Caption: And so began the Doge Program, revolutionizing the federal budget one meme at a time.”

The AI wrote some funny stuff yet even so I am not convinced that getting Americans to burn more fossil fuels and coercing the world to follow will actually make America great again,; or something to laugh about.

Genesis and The Indeterminacy of Translation

It’s best to stay with the Bible. If one is philosophically inclined you may take that lifelong course of inquiry to learn more of human history. There are so many books about the Bible, science and history to examine. Wittgenstein and Quine developed linguistic philosophy among others. Yet for understanding the Bible in depth a lot of specialized and general knowledge is required.

Really there isn’t one simple book to explain all of the possible historical and historical circumstances in which ancient scripture fits. A deictic reference is one that was written in a particular historical period and that dates material. Understanding the knowledge that people had in a given era as compared with today is another kind of reference base for comparison for interpretation of meaning.

I had a few tries at interpreting paradigmata of some of Genesis and other books of the Bible. Those books of mine are free to download.

https://www.lulu.com/shop/garrison-clifford-gibson/god-cosmology-and-nothingness-theory-and-theology-in-a-scientific-era/ebook/product-1r8pg7nr.html?page=1&pageSize=4.

https://www.lulu.com/shop/garrison-clifford-gibson/creation-and-cosmos-the-literal-values-of-genesis/ebook/product-1zkkpzvd.html?q=Creation+and+cosmos+&page=1&pageSize=4

Lots of theories and variables involved with dating early Genesis. Avrm was circa 2000 BC. You might want to read; Abraham: The First Historical Biography by Rosenberg. I made a timeline from Noah once using a certain criteria quite a bit more expansive than from the Younger Dryas period. That is in one of my free books considering such topics. One might go on about such considerations for quite a while without certainty.

Pres. Trump's Tariff Medicine is a Hard Economic Remedy

 Usually I would prefer classical free trade economics without tariffs. Since the USA began outsourcing jobs and the country began trade def...