France Seems to have an Undeclared Naval War on Russia

 Apparently it is France that has taken upon itself the task of making clandestine naval war upon Russia. France seems to be the party that has sunk several Russian oil tankers recently, and as of now Russia hasn't attacked French ships or ports in return.

French President Macron has a smaller naval force than Russia yet it is technically modern and sophisticated, including the only European aircraft carrier. It is tempting for rulers of countries with a large, sophisticated military with a technical advantage over an enemy not to use their resources to attack.

Russia of course has several options for counterattacking should it choose to. France obviously is hiding behind the N.A.T.O. shield to engage in war at its pleasure- striking out at a powerful adversary like a cobra- an adversary that doesn't wish to expand the war to include France and potentially N.A.T.O.

The French President Macron seeks to stop Russian oil sales to China and elsewhere that is an important source of cash to fund its war stressed economy. Russia probably will do some kind of cost-benefit analysis to determine if it is a good idea to take out Marseilles and Le Havre's port infrastructures with something like submarine drones or air launched torpedoes with APR-3Es or Murena-300S etc.

The United States will certainly be tested by the new European confidence that it can attack Russian interests with impunity; America cannot be the blaster in a master-blaster Thunderdome relationship without forfeiting moral and political leadership in the relationship of N.A.T.O. treaty obligations. The idea that European nations can attack whoever they want and the United States will defend them if the countries counterattack the European aggressor is not a policy that is desirable or sustainable from an American perspective.

President Macron visited China to speak with Xi Jinping and boast how the Russians will suffer significant financial damage in the near future (from the loss of oil sales revenue). The French having rejoined the N.A.T.O. military command long after the Cold War concluded (in 2009 during the Obama administration) see only advantages in levering the anachronistic treaty that is dangerous for U.S. strategic interests now and down the road. A new international security arrangement will need to be found. The N.A.F.T.A. treaty was renegotiated by President Trump; perhaps a new N.A.T.O. treaty should be found that limits the numbers of members and requires some sort of a rational use of the joint military power such that individual members that first attack another nation, cannot use the treaty for mutual defense to expect mutual defense when they are the aggressor first striking a foreign power, as the French have on Russia.

Macron Moves France Towards War with Russia

French President Macron took a big step toward the destruction of Europe through nuclear war with Russia. He has said that Russia is a threat and need be pacified- apparently meaning rendered harmless and without weapons or missiles. Macron is organizing upgrades to the Ukraine conflict placing France on a path to direct war with Russia. Perhaps he can do better than Napoleon did in failing to capture Moscow.

One might keep in mind that Macron’s blimpistry occurs against a backdrop where France quit N.A.T.O. before the Soviet Union faded away. The French may have wanted to seem harmless in the hope that the Soviets would not nuke them.

https://theconversation.com/french-nuclear-deterrence-for-europe-how-effective-could-it-be-against-russia-251512#:~:text=French%20nuclear%20deterrence%20against%20the%20Russian%20threat&text=But%20the%20fact%20remains%20that,warheads%20on%20the%20Russian%20side

Europeans are functionally insane in regard to war on their continental portion, history informs us. At some point fighting against invasions from Asia and Africa, Europeans had legitimate reasons for conflict with external threat vectors, yet Russia is not an outside threat vector in regard to the Ukraine. Among themselves the dynamics of European political power brought them to war against themselves interminably; it was only with the nearly complete destruction of Europe in the Nazi war- the Second World War, that Europe became generally pacified for several decades. Europe was broken and military depleted.

The rise of American and Russian/Soviet nuclear powers rendered Europe impotent; they were compelled to rebuild in peace and develop a new prosperity with comparatively small military spending. Opportunities for world conquering were set back. Political egos smoldered forced to await a future when wars for global conquest could resume. Then Russia/the Soviet Union opted for peace, freed Eastern Europe and peace should have developed.

https://eadaily.com/en/news/2025/03/05/macron-intends-to-pacify-russia-france-calls-for-chiefs-of-staff

Besides the war on terror and a brief Balkans post-communist adjustment war peace continued. Maladjustment of the post-Soviet reapportionment of political entities created conflicts and the potential for the Ukraine war, yet peace prevailed. Europe then became the EU and N.A.T. O. Expanded eastward as if Russia was some kind of threat. That breaking of trust and taking advantage of Russian weakness after the end of the Soviet Union to expand N.A.T.O. was a direct cause of the present conflict. A rearmed Europe finds itself in a position to flex its strength and bring the world to the brink of nuclear war because ts leadership is replete with historically runty malcontents and agitators striving to outdo one another with militancy toward Russia.

https://www.udio.com/songs/m2Ew6wpxksuzVEJ9dXTTju

France and Europeans would like to be the big dog of politics again. In 2020 the French Army had 118,000 members and not all of those were combat soldiers. Europeans have experienced weak U.S. leadership in the Biden, Obama and Clinton administrations that was too Eurocentric. They may have believed that with the end of the Soviet Union and reunification of Germany that Russian power had vanished forever and Russian nuclear weapons power would disappear. That latter point was a delusion.

Macron will need to adjust to the fact that Russia has 5,580 nuclear weapons and France something like 290. Russia is not going away and France will not be the planet’s big dog. Europe rather than butting their heads into a concrete wall need adjust to reality and accept that peace is again going to be forced upon them; this time before they bring about a global world war.

President Trump on the other hand has sought to neutralize European lunacy in regard to Russia.

The rapid progress with the Trump administration toward renormalizing relations with Russia and ending the Ukraine War occurs in an interesting historical paradigm that John Meirsheimer reviewed in a video. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MKjFD9fPQxg

Some have nominated former Assistant Sect. Of State Victoria Nuland for the designer of Joe Biden Ukraine policy yet I think that is an inadequate place to lay the blame. Bureaucrats may be a focal point or catch basin for social forces desiring policy directions yet they for-themselves couldn’t bring powerful disagreeing parties like the military industrial complex to support those or other policies they felt were counterproductive to profit although they might comply if required by the chief executive. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_Nuland

Other have reported that the reason for the meeting in DC of President Macron and P.R. Starmer were to hand off supervisory custody of President Zelensky to the C.I.A. Apparently France was given custody by outgoing President Biden in order to prevent the Trump administration C.I.A. from gaining access to information that might be deleterious for the members of the Biden administration.

New Hitler and Napoleon Consider Three Quarter Trillion Euro War Supply for Ukraine

Germany has an election tomorrow and may elect a war monger lusting for conflict with Russia. He is backed up by a French President with a Napoleonic point of view on Eastward expansion. Together they imagine a new rearmed European military able to develop hegemony over Russia in Ukraine. Establishing a permanent state of hostility with Russia gazing like hillbillies at one another pointing long guns over a DMZ is the future they imagine. Apparently rare earth minerals in Ukraine are the bone of contention.

Valuable minerals worth trillions are a sticking point in finding peace. Europe, Russia, the Ukraine and the USA want them. Willingness of the EU to risk world war three over the conflict may force America’s hand. In order not to be included as a nuclear target when the war escalated to nuclear the USA may need to quit N.A.T.O. and form a new alliance with Russia.

The EU would not diss President Trump and increase hostility with Russia if the United States was not obligated by treaty to defend N.A.T.zo. members if they are attacked  Since European leaders are leveraging that treaty to hate on peace and Russia as well as to potentially draw the USA into actualizing M.A.D. policy the United States should quit being a treaty member of the vast left,-wing open air lunatic asylum that is the EU.

The United States had to fight Germany twice in the past 110 years. It is possible that one day there may be a third war with that nation.

EU considers historic € 700 billion aid package for Ukraine as Trump signals reduction in Kyiv’s support