Macron and Merz; Mini-Napoleon and Mini-Hitler Fear-Mongers?

 Approximately near Poland's eastern border, the 23rd longitude east is a good, non-threatening demarcator for troops from countries once commanded by Napoleon and Hitler. If Merz and Macron would keep their military forces well away from that line or passing beyond the Carpathian mountains Russia should be far less threatened by Western military encroachment. Ukraine is on the Russian side of the Carpathians and is called the borderlands historically, for good reason.

It is disquieting to have the return of militarism with France and Germany after the end of the Cold War. Macron is something like Napoleon and Merz more than a little like Adolph Hitler, yet of course without a semblance of charisma. One might wish they were not aggressive and assertive regarding Ukraine, as they are, as if it is a play-ground for the west and a field testing lab for western military weapons.

I need stipulate that Ukraine is nothing like Formosa/Taiwan strategically. The Communist Chinese might like that island nation with a history of independence to be theirs, yet like the Falkland Island in relation to Argentina, it isn't like to happen except through a slow evolution as China and Taiwan have peaceful and prosperous futures working together. Unification is a possibility though not a necessity.

Alternatively Taiwan is well defended and has good allies. mainland communists are not likely to attempt a military takeover because they would lose Shanghai and Beijing in the process most likely. A major war would perhaps bring half a billion Chinese to the brink of starvation within a couple of months as on-time deliveries of production fail. China has far more to lose than it has to gain with war against a well defended island with strong allies.

Ukraine on the other hand was historically part of Russia and the Soviet Union occupying Russia for hundreds of years, usually, except for a brief interregnum of Germany taking it over. German militarism is always a latent, recrudescent possibility- as is that of France, when they believe the time is opportune. Because President Trump isn't assertive enough publicly in his quest for peace, and not strong or eloquent enough to speak publicly about the proper role of N.A.T.O. with American support in defending Europe, delusional fears about Russia posing a threat to Europe have been present since the Obama administration.

The Cold War 35 years ago yet there were some that continued to fear the Soviets and Russia and sought expansion and takeover of the power vacuum vacated by the Soviets.  Russia obviously would rise in time after reorganization of government and economics from a communist to a free enterprise basis. It would reasonably expect to emerge as the former Russia with most of it's possessions intact- including Ukraine. It did not expect to retake places occupied by the Soviet Red Army during the final years of the Second World War and made part of the East Bloc Warsaw Pact.

The West and the United States are quite well able to defend Europe from a non-existent threat of a Russian assault. It is challenging to envision Russian marine skydivers parachuting from 15,000 feet in numbers sufficient to capture England, or to imagine Russian commandos storming over the Alps any time soon with the skill of General Suvorov in escaping Western forces going over the Alps. It is true that Russians are capable of hitting Poland if the poles were asleep and fearful enough to stay deep in bunkers hoping passing Russian tankers would not notice them yet that seems improbable. Jews at least would put up stiff resistance as they did to the Nazis in the Warsaw ghetto during W.W. 2.

Russian knows that a general war would follow an invasion of Western Europe and that their casualties might exceed those the Nazis inflicted during world war 2- perhaps 20 to 40 million dead, with devastated cities, and the west is aware that nukes might be involved and more than a billion people globally would perish from famine and pestilence such as can exist in a mass produced, interlocked global economic sphere. Russians are not really as stupid as Europeans seem to believe they are. The problem exists in European imagination and the wish to have military power over Russia via Ukraine. It is a major stumbling block for the European leadership psyche apparently. Without European and American support Ukraine would already have returned to being Russian.

It is time now for at least President Trump to be realistic knowing that Europeans and the puppet President of Ukraine Zelensky aren't. Just say know to war and accept the fact that peace is better. The west need trust and welcome Russia fully into the global economy. One day it could be a full part of a tax free American-European-Russian trading block.

Macron Moves France Towards War with Russia

French President Macron took a big step toward the destruction of Europe through nuclear war with Russia. He has said that Russia is a threat and need be pacified- apparently meaning rendered harmless and without weapons or missiles. Macron is organizing upgrades to the Ukraine conflict placing France on a path to direct war with Russia. Perhaps he can do better than Napoleon did in failing to capture Moscow.

One might keep in mind that Macron’s blimpistry occurs against a backdrop where France quit N.A.T.O. before the Soviet Union faded away. The French may have wanted to seem harmless in the hope that the Soviets would not nuke them.

https://theconversation.com/french-nuclear-deterrence-for-europe-how-effective-could-it-be-against-russia-251512#:~:text=French%20nuclear%20deterrence%20against%20the%20Russian%20threat&text=But%20the%20fact%20remains%20that,warheads%20on%20the%20Russian%20side

Europeans are functionally insane in regard to war on their continental portion, history informs us. At some point fighting against invasions from Asia and Africa, Europeans had legitimate reasons for conflict with external threat vectors, yet Russia is not an outside threat vector in regard to the Ukraine. Among themselves the dynamics of European political power brought them to war against themselves interminably; it was only with the nearly complete destruction of Europe in the Nazi war- the Second World War, that Europe became generally pacified for several decades. Europe was broken and military depleted.

The rise of American and Russian/Soviet nuclear powers rendered Europe impotent; they were compelled to rebuild in peace and develop a new prosperity with comparatively small military spending. Opportunities for world conquering were set back. Political egos smoldered forced to await a future when wars for global conquest could resume. Then Russia/the Soviet Union opted for peace, freed Eastern Europe and peace should have developed.

https://eadaily.com/en/news/2025/03/05/macron-intends-to-pacify-russia-france-calls-for-chiefs-of-staff

Besides the war on terror and a brief Balkans post-communist adjustment war peace continued. Maladjustment of the post-Soviet reapportionment of political entities created conflicts and the potential for the Ukraine war, yet peace prevailed. Europe then became the EU and N.A.T. O. Expanded eastward as if Russia was some kind of threat. That breaking of trust and taking advantage of Russian weakness after the end of the Soviet Union to expand N.A.T.O. was a direct cause of the present conflict. A rearmed Europe finds itself in a position to flex its strength and bring the world to the brink of nuclear war because ts leadership is replete with historically runty malcontents and agitators striving to outdo one another with militancy toward Russia.

https://www.udio.com/songs/m2Ew6wpxksuzVEJ9dXTTju

France and Europeans would like to be the big dog of politics again. In 2020 the French Army had 118,000 members and not all of those were combat soldiers. Europeans have experienced weak U.S. leadership in the Biden, Obama and Clinton administrations that was too Eurocentric. They may have believed that with the end of the Soviet Union and reunification of Germany that Russian power had vanished forever and Russian nuclear weapons power would disappear. That latter point was a delusion.

Macron will need to adjust to the fact that Russia has 5,580 nuclear weapons and France something like 290. Russia is not going away and France will not be the planet’s big dog. Europe rather than butting their heads into a concrete wall need adjust to reality and accept that peace is again going to be forced upon them; this time before they bring about a global world war.

President Trump on the other hand has sought to neutralize European lunacy in regard to Russia.

The rapid progress with the Trump administration toward renormalizing relations with Russia and ending the Ukraine War occurs in an interesting historical paradigm that John Meirsheimer reviewed in a video. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MKjFD9fPQxg

Some have nominated former Assistant Sect. Of State Victoria Nuland for the designer of Joe Biden Ukraine policy yet I think that is an inadequate place to lay the blame. Bureaucrats may be a focal point or catch basin for social forces desiring policy directions yet they for-themselves couldn’t bring powerful disagreeing parties like the military industrial complex to support those or other policies they felt were counterproductive to profit although they might comply if required by the chief executive. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_Nuland

Other have reported that the reason for the meeting in DC of President Macron and P.R. Starmer were to hand off supervisory custody of President Zelensky to the C.I.A. Apparently France was given custody by outgoing President Biden in order to prevent the Trump administration C.I.A. from gaining access to information that might be deleterious for the members of the Biden administration.