Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts

24 August 2026

To Be a Big Tent Party Democrats Need...

Democrats don’t enact policies to substantially help the poor these days. They should advance a 15,000 annual minimum income for adult Americans, and allow the poor to earn another 10,000 without penalty. That would end the need forfood stamps and unemployment compensation. It might keep a half million citizens from being incarcerated each year. It would also end homelessness  promote education, health and the capital would support small business ventures. Poor social security recipients could also have an income of 20,000 annually without penalty; social security would not need to pay as much. The savings would be substantial.


     The savings would be approximately 380 billion short of the cost of the program. That shortfall could be made with a slight increase in tax on those earning more than a millionĺ annually and by closing loopholes.

  For Democrats to be a big tent party instead of one for extremists the party would need to support a secure border, basic minimum income, policy to reduce public debt, free enterprise approaches to mediate the ecosphere challenges and a moderate moral policy. The party should accentuate positive economic ideas rather than moral depravity.

AI said this about finding the 380 billion.


AI-Implementing a multi-hundred-billion-dollar tax on capital to fund a targeted guaranteed income would trigger a significant shift in the U.S. economy. It would decrease traditional corporate investment and high-end financial growth, while simultaneously boosting consumer spending and lower-income financial security.
The net impact on overall economic growth (GDP) depends entirely on whether consumer demand or business investment drives the economy more at that specific moment.

📉 Negative Pressures on Growth (The Supply Side)
Taxing capital directly reduces the pool of money available for businesses to expand, build factories, and conduct research and development.
Lower Venture Investment: A tax on unrealized gains hits early-stage investors and startup founders hardest. Venture capitalists would become far more cautious about backing risky, high-growth tech or biotech startups if paper valuation increases triggered massive, immediate tax bills before the company even generated revenue.
The “Lock-In” Effect and Market Volatility: Higher capital gains taxes cause wealthy investors to stop selling stocks to avoid the tax. This “lock-in” effect reduces stock market liquidity, lowers trading volumes, and can make the stock market more volatile.
Reduced Long-Term Capital Accumulation: Economists generally agree that taxing capital accumulation lowers the long-term capital stock of a country. Over decades, less factory equipment, software development, and infrastructure investment can slow down a nation’s baseline productivity growth.

📈 Positive Pressures on Growth (The Demand Side)
While the tax reduces investment, redistributing that $380 billion directly to people earning under $15,000 injects cash into the exact segment of the population that spends money fastest.
Massive Consumer Spending Boost: Low-income individuals have a very high “marginal propensity to consume.” Unlike a billionaire who saves or invests an extra dollar, a person making $8,000 a year will immediately spend an extra government dollar on groceries, car repairs, clothes, and local services. This creates an immediate demand shock that boosts corporate revenues for retail, food, and consumer goods.
The Economic Multiplier: Every dollar spent by a low-income recipient becomes income for a local business, which then pays its employees, who spend it again. In a consumption-driven economy like the U.S. (where consumer spending makes up nearly 70% of GDP), this multiplier effect can heavily counteract the loss of capital investment.
Human Capital and Health Gains: Lifting millions of people out of severe poverty improves public health, reduces emergency room usage, and allows low-income parents to invest more in their children’s education and nutrition. Over a generation, this builds a healthier, more capable workforce, which naturally grows GDP.

⚖️ The Net Verdict on GDP
Economic models from groups like the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and independent think tanks generally conclude that the net effect of this specific policy would likely be slightly negative to neutral for raw GDP growth, but highly positive for reducing income inequality.
Short-Term (Years 1–3): GDP might actually increase or remain flat. The massive wave of consumer spending from 50 million low-income Americans would provide an immediate jolt to businesses, masking the drag from lower investment.
Long-Term (Years 5–20): GDP growth would likely slow down by a fraction of a percentage point annually compared to a baseline economy. The compounding effect of less business investment and reduced capital formation eventually outweighs the consumer spending boost.
Ultimately, the policy trades a small amount of aggregate economic size for a massive increase in baseline financial security for the poorest quarter of the country.
Would you like to look at how this shift would impact inflation and interest rates, or see what specific industries (like retail versus tech) would win or lose the most?



13 April 2026

Securing Borders and Elections: Why Ideas Matter More Than Party Loyalty

Friends of the Earth emailed me asking for my signature on a petition against Donald Trump. They claimed he has started unnecessary wars in Venezuela and Iran. However, there were valid reasons for those conflicts.

Iran was enriching uranium to 60% — a level with no realistic peaceful purpose — and could relatively easily reach the 90% weapons-grade level required for nuclear weapons. Many Americans consider a nuclear-armed Iran with missiles capable of striking U.S. cities unacceptable.

Venezuela had been ruled by a dictator who suppressed free enterprise, empowered gangs and bureaucrats, and drove the country into economic collapse. Removing that regime offered a chance to restore liberty and opportunity.

I appreciate Friends of the Earth’s passion for the environment, but we must choose politicians based on ideas and principles — not personalities or party loyalty.

Even though Donald Trump’s ideas are generally preferable to those of the Democrats on national security, borders, energy, and economic realism, they are still not adequate on their own to directly correct the serious ecological insults to the Earth and its atmosphere. We urgently need a genuine policy of ecological economics — yet neither major party is seriously pursuing it.

Democrats, in particular, seem afraid to take clear, practical stands on critical issues: securing borders, verifying voter eligibility, raising wages for working Americans, increasing taxes on the ultra-wealthy, and managing a fair transition to sustainable economics as the economy rapidly shifts toward robotic and AI-driven production.

Instead, the Democratic Party has largely become a vehicle for anti-Trump hatred and cults of personality. That approach offers no real solutions.

Since the end of the Cold War, the Dow has risen roughly 1,500% while median household income has grown only about 30% in real terms. This massive disconnect, along with exploding public debt and wealth concentration not seen since the Gilded Age, shows how badly we need better ideas.

I support a strong, practical environmental agenda for a sustainable planet — but it can only succeed with a secure nation, secure borders, and a sustainable citizenry first. Without secure elections and secure borders, even the best environmental goals will fail.

Elections should be decided by substantive ideas and principles, not tribal hatred or personality cults. That’s why many Americans back Trump: not because of his style, but because — imperfect as they are — his ideas currently align better with the real challenges facing the country.

08 January 2026

Will Republicans Become Another Party of Censorship to Grease Conquest of Greenland?

 Democrats censored social media in order to control news and antipathetic political opinions; if Republicans did that too would they be worth electing to office even if their opposition party are lunatics?

The U.S.A. is sorely in need of a third party based on citizen's rights and free speech, security to own private property and a balanced federal budget. Some societies pay off massive debt through war. President Trump may envision Greenland as being worth 38 trillion dollars and valuable for paying off U.S. public debt. If Greenland was independent and able to manage its own natural resources that would be more honest and even virtuous than the U.S. beating up a nation with a tiny (comparative) population of 57,000. That way seems cowardly and dishonorable. The U.S. should be a champion of the disadvantaged rather than conqueror.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgx8w4pgk0o

A third party has difficulty arising when wealth backs the two major parties. Fundamentally the American democracy is a plutocracy. In my opinion the Democratic Party lost its way completely during the late Sen Ted Kennedy with brain cancer era, and moved toward socialism while beginning the process of abandoning national interests for special interests and globalism over U.S. nationalism. Socialism still perhaps has a planetary goal of transforming the world into a communist utopia. The party of Tip O'Neill became the party of Karl Mark. Republicans became sycophants of the 1% also cutting taxes and piling up public debt to equal Democrats- that is an ancient tactic to transfer wealth to the rich and cut services and support to the poor. England's war against the United States piled up debt that wasn't paid down until the 20th century. Hitler's massive public spending to build up Germany virtual necessitated a war of conquest to pay down debt; that didn't work out well for Germany.




Next Gen Cold War Could Become Hot

The inability of first world governments to reign in global warming in preference to investing in building to a global hot war requires dis...