Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

10 October 2025

Trump Tariff on China Will Gouge U.S. Poor and Middle Class to Prop Up Zelensky

 President Trump plans to put 100% tariffs on Chinese imports to help Ukraine’s quasi dictator Zelensky survive a few more months in Ukraine. Because Wal-mart imports 60% of it’s stuff from China the tariffs cost will be passed on to poor and middle class Americans that shop at Wal-mart.

Eighty percent of global solar panel production is also Chinese. Trump’s actions won’t help reduce the cost of energy self-reliance off-grid further.

One might guess that the tariffs won’t be popular with consumers being gouged at Wal-mart because of the tariff on China. There will be mid-term political repercussions for the new tariff that won’t be helpful for the United States as more lunatic Democrats may be elected to take over the House and Senate.

Tesla is set to introduce sodium batteries in its 2026 modules that recharge in 4 minutes to 80% of capacity, last for a half million miles and have a range of over 500 miles. Solar power is important for Americans that will want to recharge the new batteries in lower priced cars because sodium is far cheaper than rare Earth minerals to buy. President Trump may not be aware that Tesla should not be impeded with Chinese auto sales next year as its battery advantage may not last forever. Tariffs could permanently damage American auto sales advantages in the Chinese market.

If the thoughtless billionaire league would double American wages and make a 100% cost of living adjustment for social security then the 100% Trump tariffs would be more tolerable. Yet it is the bloody aloof rich that have no trouble paying for food and basic items that configure such importunate policy deeds. The ultra rich and their  mindless class of the West feel they can corner the global market and reduce wages while raising the cost of living for the majority of Americans under the guise of punishing China. It is the rich that invested in and built up the China trade to start with while transitioning the U.S.A. into a service economy rather than manufacturing.

 Those rich that have invested in China the past several decades are not being sanctioned- just consumers in the United States. They outsourced U.S. jobs, imported cheap illegal workers, invested in China and made the cheap Chinese imports the rationale and excuse for stagnating U.S. male wages since the 1970s. Now they want to sanction American consumers. The sycophant media would criticize Americans who criticize the sanctions yet did not invest in China like the 1%ers. Americans are supposed to patriotically support the sanctions in effect, on themselves placed by a first generation American.


26 September 2025

Destruction of Russian Oil Productiom Likely to Benefit China

Ukraine’s continuing destruction of Russian oil refineries is causing shortages and driving up the price of gas to consumers. If Ukrainian drones continue to wreak havoc on Russian oil production it is possible that the Kremlin may seek relief and import hundreds of thousands of Chinese workers and engineers to repair devastated oil infrastructure in exchange for a deal such as a full share of free fuel from fuel production facilities  brought back online.

   If China can get Russian oil and gas for a quarter of the present market cost, that would be a boon for the Chinese economy. It would also reduce the unemployment rate in China

It may slso simulate new deals to build  pipelines across Afghanistan to India in addition to those planned for China.

   While the West drives Russia east in this major realignment of global economics Ukraine is being reduced to rubble, Oreshnik missiles are being deployed to Belarus and President Trump has flip flopped to believe a war against Rusdia in Ukraine can be one. The conflict does continue to escalate toward Worrld War Three.

https://youtu.be/AMyzP1HsIjw?si=IfMepmLQDZyUNal7Jeff Sachs on the War Situation

03 September 2025

Trump Continues Biden-Graham Approach to Global Trade Isolation via the Ukraine War

 When the leaders of China, Russia, India and 17 other nations met in Beijing recently to discuss a new world order with themselves as the core alternative to the U.S. led world order that has prevailed during the post World War Two era, it was prompted as a response to sanctions President Trump has placed upon nations helping Russia break sanctions from the west. Sanctions to redress compiled U.S. trade imbalance and stimulate domestic American production were a synthetic combination of basic trade realignment and sanctions created on Russia and its numerous allies for asserting historical rights in Ukraine militarily.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/02/xi-china-sco-military-parade-russia-putin-kim-jong-un-north-korea/

President Trump failed to reverse the Biden-Lindsay Graham approach to complete support for West Ukraine and war on Russian Eastern Ukraine and that policy is predictably bearing fruit. In the history of the world and the United States following the second world war the emerging nations of the world have long aspired to rise to a standard of living equal to the west, while American led western business sought global markets to invest in. After the end of the Cold War a new world of markets for sales and production arose with the west investing in emerging economies heavily.

Russia for a time received much U.S. and western investment and was on track to become a full member of the western led global economy even while India and China were developing to such an advanced stage as to aspire to be rivals for world leadership in economics. Russia China and India developed or redeveloped nuclear military capabilities, and when Russia invaded Eastern Ukraine in response to the west reneging on promises not to expand N.A.T.O. apparently in an effort to created economic and military hegemony over Russia- possibly with the idea that Ukraine could be a lever not only for military purposes, but to help with continuing domination of the world economy by militarily degrading Russia and intimidating China into compliance with Western trade criteria forced upon it, a crucible was made that brought BRIC nations to support Russia and finally seek economic independence from the West.

The maladroit U.S. leadership in regard to the Ukraine war that followed the Clinton administration’s carpet bagging approach to taking all of Ukraine for the west and not sharing it with its historical owner-Russia prompted the military reconquista effort by Russia and aggressively promoted the unification of BRIC nations, North Korea and Iran and many others in a compact both formal and informal to stand against the power of the west. Compelling a major world political and economic schism in order to try to assert Western hegemony over the Ukraine and the globe was a stupid policy approach. With cooperation with Russia and China instead of belligerency the United States and Europe would have enjoyed decades of prosperity and stability. As it stands the West faces major economic challenges; the U.S. has vast left and right wing generated public debt and a global trading production and competition with the younger, more populous and very hard working, intelligent Eastern and BRIC nations as adversaries rather than partners. Even as that occurs the Trump administration has taken up the Biden-Graham militarism policy of supplying weapons to Ukraine in order to continue the conflict in Ukraine.

Continuing support for the Ukraine war will continue to stimulate the East and BRICs to build an economic house of self-reliance apart from the west. And of course with the vast scale of the India and China production and trade markets it is inevitable that the west will continue to defect to trade with the Eat and BRICs and not cohere within sanctions on Eastern allied nations in trade. 

President Trump’s betrayal of his own campaign promises to swiftly end the Ukraine war was his own worst betrayal of his own policies that might have rectified global trade to a natural free flowing status normalizing relations with Russia without forcing Russia Eastward in very tight new economic, military and trade agreements. A future U.S. president will need to try to rectify the failed Trump isolationist policies, yet in the interim there may be additional economic disadvantages that compile and present new additional challenges to repair.

20 August 2025

Chinese Leadership May be Smarter on Space Exploration, Energy Development and Environment than the West's

Recent analysis have discovered that China is surpassing the United States in the development of power required to support the needs of artificial intelligence development. It has also developed a practical engineering approach to developing lunar rockets and colonization. That is a result of the United States having forgotten how to get things done on large scale projects, besides piling up public debt at which the nation excels, since the last Apollo moon landing,

China is on schedule to start building a moon base by 2030 and may be the first to develop artificial general intelligence- surpassing the combined intelligence of all of humanity.

Because the Democrat Party is corrupt it doesn’t get things done. It would fund day care instead of environmental remediation, and flood the nation with illegal workers getting paid under the table to support the economy of Democrat voters. Government cannot substitute for good wages and union negotiations for employer provided day care. The Republican Party is too interested in corporate profit and tax cuts to lead an intelligent political Risorgimento for the U.S.A. like nation runs risks similar to those of the late Roman Empire of failing through too much focus on investments abroad, lack of political cohesion and leadership and other nations maturing militarily and economically beyond the criterion of the healthy political economy of Rome. It did not help when the capital was moved abroad to Constantinople.

The United States has far fewer engineers than China. Because China can coordinate teamwork in larger numbers better than the United States, which is overly focused on entertainment and consumerism, it can create a web of space science supporting industry, while the United States cuts the N.A.S.A. budget and hired a Lysenko to lead the Department of Health.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3DMeC-HOtg&t=647s Chinese Space Program

I have advocated a few policies over the years to renew the national energy grid, to develop electro-magnetic accelerators to launch space ships to orbit and to build electro-magnetic accelerators on the moon and in space to accelerate space-ships on vectors around the solar system. Robert Goddard if living and funded would have accomplished that by the age of 130 or less I would guess.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dS0jM8mlAw0  China's A.I. Developments in a desert

Scientific American published an article decades ago about build a super-conducting power line across the nation within liquid hydrogen filled pipelines. Solar and wind power as well as nuclear power could be added to the line that could be buried below interstate highways. That would go a long way toward solving the problem of a clean power grid that is suitable for the present need for power. Plainly though, super-cooling of super-conductors will be easy at a moon base, so it is likely that lunar development would catalyze the rise of artificial general intelligence with easy super-conduction. The nation requires leadership on the challenges presented for power, super-conduction and artificial general intelligence.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5Mzwd1iw7U Chinese Energy Grid and A.I.

 Few politicians have good sense about the global environmental challenges to day and the way a transformation to a sustainable economic based in environmental economic principles is required to sustain human rather than artificial life on Earth. One might hope for a leader able to walk and chew gum at the same time, yet such hopes are never fulfilled. Perhaps the greatest challenge for the United States is how to engineer a President and Congress that can realistically address those major challenges of a new energy grid, a better, more effective space transport technology, making water through evaporation on condensation on a vast scale in canals along the Mexican border, adapting the economy to harmony with the requirements for a healthy and even thriving global ecosphere without ongoing atmospheric heating and mass species extinction, securing the nation’s borders, structuring universal basic income for all citizens to allow realistic adaptation to challenges of occupational obsolescence and exploitation by corrupt industries and actors of capitalism in the effort to renew the United States as a great, leading, beneficial nation able to compete successfully in economics with China in the future.

China has an interesting AI problem of success putting people out of work.  With 800-900 million workers needing a basic income to stay alive the challenges for development of relevant occupations for humans in the new economy of AI and robots within a competitive global economy will be interesting to observe; can they get it right the first time?

President Trump has worked with moderate success on two important goals; one to secure the borders and secondly to end the Ukraine war. The west investing time. Thought and budget in the absolutely useless distraction of the Ukraine war instead of responding to the challenges mentioned above is doing it’s best to let China be the smart nation and the West the stupid political entity.

In the ideal, democracy would have brilliant public service motivated grass roots citizens littering cities and rural copses solving the nation's challenges. Unfortunately corporatism has made minions of the masses and they select from political column A or B. In the decadent era of the Byzantine Empire there were chariot racing fans that wore colors as Bloods and Crips did in the 80s. They fought like soccer hooligans; greens versus blues and reds. They even became political. The Byzantine Empire's decline and fall went on for hundreds of years. They had very few writers or philosophers, yet a surfeit of Icon painters in monasteries and elsewhere until they divided over that too in a battle with iconoclasts.

https://suno.com/s/lynLapWoX24Xbstm Cai Su Right (a song)

22 June 2025

China Has Made Iran Its Client

China has deployed air surveillance for western aircraft and missile ships to the Persian Gulf to support the troubled Shi'a fundamentalist, theocratic government. Its also sending missiles and other weapons as the communists found willing clients in Iran.

Iran overplayed its hand against the USA and Israel and that prompted the Dragon to enter the conflict as a belligerent. It may believe that its ships are immune to being sunk. It may view their loss as an excuse to create a general war wherein they could capture Taiwan.

 Russia has its hands full in Ukraine, so NATO mobilization in Ukraine and Iran are distinct prospects if a general, no-nuclear👑war breaks out with limited objectives. That is the west may view Putin's claim on all of Ukraine and Chinese military expansion into the Middle East as preludes to war or at least a grab for global hegemony, if not Armageddon as Iranian 12ers might hope for a long with select Christian fundamentalist pre-tribbers. China should recall its ships rather than stick the out there hoping for a limited World War Three to start.

China has long supply lines to Iran and no clear path to bringing reinforcements while Russia would need to keep its own homeland secure. Russia may not regard a future role as puppet of China as an ideal path to take, and could choose to let Iran become the sole nephew of the neo-communists, atheist Chinese leadership.

 Iranian hatred of Israel is a strange thing; they would have been better off simply having a defense force as Japan and forgetting the nuclear war that only leads to mass destruction and death. Theoretically they could resolve their differences with the west instantly by forgoing nuclear weapons and asking the west for help.

 The west could have avoided the Ukraine war with realpolitik sharing East Ukraine with Russia and stopping NATO expansion Eastward toward Moscow.  A lot of money and lives have been lost because of an excess of greed, pride and power.

China, if recognizing Taiwan independence would have gained Taiwanese and western trust and better economic relations. Except for so much pride where people believe force is best, the world would be a better place

27 April 2025

Effect on Prices Globally for Increases of Chinese Minimum Wage

 The minimum wage of the United States today is about 7.25 per hour. When I had my first job parking cars the minimum wage was $1.60 hourly. A minimum wage increase of several million or hundreds of millions of people is a large chunk of change. The U.S. minimum wage hasn't gone up much in a half century.

China hasn't got a nation-wide minimum wage. The minimum wage is set at a provincial level and of course people living in cities need and get higher minimum wages than country folk. About 470 million Chinese work in cities. I believe the minimum wage in Shanghai is about $1.20 an hour. It is less for the 270 million rural workers generally.  The scale of even modest, nation-wide increases in minimum wages in China has immediate, large effects on the cost of made in China products sold globally.

Maybe western ideologues will expect Chinese communist leadership to duplicate western models of sending proplits of rising prosperity to CEOs instead of workers and to keep minimum wages down. I believe that's unreasonable. In the west the voters have need trained to be like good communists and accept low minimum wages and submit to low tax flummery  and profit lion shares for the rich. In China the communist leadership may not only worry about being replaced if they don't raise worker minimums and increase average standard of living; they could be accused of counter-revolutionary activity.

Chinese workers, like Americans, want an increase in minimum wages. For about 77 million people to have meaningful wage increase means costs need be passed on to consumers. In other words, even without tariffs the cost of made-in-China goods was destined to increase in order to increase the Chinese standard of living. The U.S.A. did need to eventually return to material production many of the items outsourced to China in order to raise U.S. minimum wages much.

Chinese workers, like Americans, want an increase in minimum wages. For about 77 million people to have meaningful wage increase means costs need be passed on to consumers. In other words, even without tariffs the cost of made-in-China goods was destined to increase in order to increase the Chinese standard of living. The U.S.A. did need to eventually return to material production many of the items outsourced to China in order to raise U.S. minimum wages much.

The growth in the U.S. economy since the 1970s sent a disproportionate percent of profit to the rich instead of sharing proportionately with workers via minimum wage increases. Instead of minimum wage increases consumers following the end of the Cold War 1.0 got deflation on the cost of select consumer goods made in China, Thailand, Vietnam etc. It is likely that Chinese wages will rise even as the labor participation rate declines because of aging of the Chinese population. For the U.S. minimum wage to triple ( a small yet significant reparation for the relative stagnation of minimum wage the past half century) domestic production would need to increase, taxation on capital gains increase and the cost of government be reduced with increased efficiency. 

Needless to say environmental protections need be strongly reinforced because of the extreme stress on the environment created by the vast global demographic facts of population and countless deleterious economic environmental externalities (i.e. microplastics).

24 April 2025

Reorienting U.S. Economy To material Production instead of the Losing Policy Abroad

 President Trump has no easy task. The nation after Reagan moved toward shifting production overseas with the end of Cold War 1.0. The nation moved toward being a service and finance economy running federal budget and trade deficits as a permanent paradigm. That of course couldn’t last and as the President has tried to recover the national production ability with tariffs feathers have been ruffled for those invested in America losing on all fronts. I wonder though if the huge trade problem with China could be offset by some kind of reciprocal investment and development in Mexico instead of China?

Mexico is a close neighbor and needs to become even more productive to keep its younger workers home. It would be easier to share production with Mexico and the nation on things like manufacture of aircraft instead of China. Not an economist myself, it is something I wonder about.

Even creating dental labs in Mexico instead of China would return denture production closer to home and lower transportation costs. The administration could research the issue and perhaps build a fresh water making desalinating salt-water security canal along the entire Mexican border using solar power for pumping water uphill to Deming New Mexico for trickling downhill east and west.

08 April 2025

China sent 150,000 Men to Help Allies in World War One

 There is a little known historical fact about the First World War; China sent 150,000 men to the west to help win the war against Germany and Turkey etc. Their contribution delivering ammunition and with logistics and combat engineering skill like building trenches was not an unimportant contribution to victory. They are probably helping Russia with a very small percent of that number in order to shore up Russia's attempt to defend itself against N.A.T.O. member infiltration eastward. It would not be surprising if China sent as many soldiers to Russia to support its historically correct assertion of a right to rule half of Ukraine as it did to help France and Belgium defend themselves in the First World War. China lost between 2000 to 20,000 men in that conflict and were largely neglected by the allies later when Japan began its invasion of China.

Non-combatant support forces  relieve combatants from the necessary support tasks and let them fight instead of digging in. The fact that history may be repeating itself against underscores the point that people or at least political leaders do not learn from history; human nature and original sin prevail to drive lemming leadership to battle in senseless, needless, costly conflicts.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-china-citizens-captured-zelenskyy-beijing-kremlin-rcna200174

13 March 2025

Beating the High Cost of U.S. Patent Applications; File in China?

 U.S. Patent registration may cost between  and $20,000 preventing many ordinary people from filing a patent application for an invention. Apparently a patent in China is far less costly- perhaps $150 to a few hundred dollars for a substantial examination, and foreigners need hire a Chinese patent agent to file for the- and there are quite a few to be found with Google search.

Since has has more than double the number of patent inventions than the U.S.A. annually I wonder if the exorbitant cost of U.S. patents is a art of the fight of American patent applicants to China via the internet? Since China is the manufacturing center of the world it might make it easier to go from patent registrations in China to manufacture in China anyway.

https://www.serious-strike.com/contact

28 January 2025

Deep Seek Will Vacuum Global Intell for China

The new open source AI will vacuum intelligence from global users for Beijing. Since its a free app developer s can use and doesn’t cost $200 a month like ChatGPT its use is viral. Even poor countries can use state of the art AI to model ecological land resource use and try to optimize policy in an effort to renormalize eco-health while increasing land productivity.

The timing of release of Deep Seek was politically meaningful following the change of US administration and President Trump’s announcement of a $500 billion plan to develop AI research and development in the USA. Some will place more trust in an open source AI than a Microsoft style proprietary approach to the potentially dangerous to human survival, rival technology.

The global division over the Ukraine war dividing east and west continues to harm US interests. Deep Seek and Germany automaker VW’s agreement to let China operate it’s electric car production reinforced the Russian-Chinese security and economic alliance and also provides a measure of security for Germany beyond the N.A.T.O. membership that seems hell bent on permanent hostility with Russia.

  President Trump will face tough choices in finding a way to bring Russia back to the U.S. economic side in order to slow China’s rising global power based on pragmatism. The military power the U.S. has relied on since the Vietnam war need he eclipsed by economic realism. Most of the world will use lower cost electric transportation soon, including millions of electric bikes to move around. Failing to upgrade the US transportation infrastructure to low cost electric forms inclusive of high speed mass transit and leaving a class of poor Americans as a perennial condition both major parties ignore will shift perceptions of the USA as a Microsoft like political economy rather than of an open society.

Even as the administration secured the borders so the US can enjoy political self-determination with elections and reduce federal debt national progress need extend to include the poor. More than half of the world population is poor and the intentions of the USA toward those consumers can be judged by observations of how many Americans live in poverty on income less than 12,000 dollars annually.

Maybe it's best if AI is legally required to have open source code. It's too dangerous to be private or owned by government like nuclear weapons are. AI can be used to make unbreakable codes randomly permitted with intelligence faster than a code could be broken. AI can be programmed for the  most exquisite wickedness in the near future. It may dominate the capacity of politicians to understand the plans it constructs for private interests.


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