22 June 2025

China Has Made Iran Its Client

China has deployed air surveillance for western aircraft and missile ships to the Persian Gulf to support the troubled Shi'a fundamentalist, theocratic government. Its also sending missiles and other weapons as the communists found willing clients in Iran.

Iran overplayed its hand against the USA and Israel and that prompted the Dragon to enter the conflict as a belligerent. It may believe that its ships are immune to being sunk. It may view their loss as an excuse to create a general war wherein they could capture Taiwan.

 Russia has its hands full in Ukraine, so NATO mobilization in Ukraine and Iran are distinct prospects if a general, no-nuclearđź‘‘war breaks out with limited objectives. That is the west may view Putin's claim on all of Ukraine and Chinese military expansion into the Middle East as preludes to war or at least a grab for global hegemony, if not Armageddon as Iranian 12ers might hope for a long with select Christian fundamentalist pre-tribbers. China should recall its ships rather than stick the out there hoping for a limited World War Three to start.

China has long supply lines to Iran and no clear path to bringing reinforcements while Russia would need to keep its own homeland secure. Russia may not regard a future role as puppet of China as an ideal path to take, and could choose to let Iran become the sole nephew of the neo-communists, atheist Chinese leadership.

 Iranian hatred of Israel is a strange thing; they would have been better off simply having a defense force as Japan and forgetting the nuclear war that only leads to mass destruction and death. Theoretically they could resolve their differences with the west instantly by forgoing nuclear weapons and asking the west for help.

 The west could have avoided the Ukraine war with realpolitik sharing East Ukraine with Russia and stopping NATO expansion Eastward toward Moscow.  A lot of money and lives have been lost because of an excess of greed, pride and power.

China, if recognizing Taiwan independence would have gained Taiwanese and western trust and better economic relations. Except for so much pride where people believe force is best, the world would be a better place

21 June 2025

The Administration's Ineluctable Coice to Bomb Iran's Fordo Nuclear Enrichment Plant

 Iran's leadership has been dedicated for some time to building a nuclear weapon. It developed it's own nuclear enrichment centrifuges deep underground at the Fordo plant near the city of Qom.

Israel is a major U.S. ally; a peer of Britain, yet one with more active tactical interests regarding America's own international political posture concerning oil and other concerns. Israel even defrappe's European concerns about the Mediterranean Sea becoming the turf of Muslim naval and air forces for better hegemonizing Europe. Russia recently sold it's Sukovsky 57 felon jet fighter to Algeria and other nations in the region.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/06/18/us-attacks-iran-expert-predictions-analysis-00413901

Because Iranian leadership is hell-bent on having a nuclear device to bomb Israel, Israel attacked Iran. So the conflict need reach its final denouement with the destruction of the Fordo facility, and the very large bunker buster may only be delivered by a jet bomber Israel doesn't have yet the U.S. Air Force does. Hence President Trump will decide to bomb Fordo.

At this point the Federal Government of the United States may be looking for a regime change in Iran equivalent to the revolution that brought the Ayatollah Khomeini into power in 1979. War is a reprehensible activity, yet even worse are ineffective, vacillating half measures that exacerbate the time and scale of conflicts- as has occurred in the Ukraine conflict because of Europe and the Biden administration unwillingness to share East Ukraine with Russia and settle the conflict.

https://suno.com/s/zTC1VefZ6RQJjfSa

Most of the world political opinion after a war that leaves the clerical branch of Iran's traditional three part political stool of political power between civilian, military and clerical powers in charge will feel more sympathy andunderstanding if that government seeks revenge. An exacerbated new attack on Israel would be viewed as a quid pro quo. Thus the C.I.A. may be seeking that expatriate Iranian leader and internal dissidents to be groomed to take control with the civilian branch and a populist civil government with traditional, yet liberated conservative moral values not antipathetic to shared values concerning marriage and the social and economic equality of women in Russia, the United States and even Argentina- in the latter case women have only a 35% pay gap economically, and that may improve eventually.

It is unlikely that the U.S. will become involved in a ground war in Iran. The next revolutionary government of Iran may have help from various rebels and U.S. Air force bombing missions yet the revolt or coup to change leadership ranks in order to bring a non-nuclear civil government willing to restore peace and prosperity with a new openness to non-belligerent relations with Israel and the world will need to find its own people to lead it toward a new independence from internal tyranny.

20 June 2025

The Eternal Now and God in Relation to Relativistic Reference Frames

 God, it is said, lives in the eternal now. The future and past are known to him in the present. For God all things that are, at some point, are present to Him. It is a different paradigm for relativity. Even space-time and the material unfolding or expansion of matter changing forms is entirely present for Him. It is interesting and a little beyond standard physical models of cosmology and its laws.

https://suno.com/s/zTC1VefZ6RQJjfSa

19 June 2025

A 37 Dimensional Photon by Any Other Name

 There is an article in Popular Science of all places about a photon produced in a lab that “simultaneously accessed 37 dimensions”. Dimensions are an interesting topic for me philosophically. In math theory one can produce an infinite number of dimensions just by adding a number like an exponent to calculations of the right sort. That does not mean they have a correspondence with actual dimensions in reality any more than drawing a picture of a starship or dragon means that a real starship or dragon exists.

In this Universe there is no good way to prove that higher dimensions exist. Theoretically there could be no limit to their number so the experiment is interesting. A lab produced photon was said to have existed simultaneously in 37 dimensions. ” The Greenberger–Horne–Zeilinger (GHZ) paradox describes how quantum theory cannot be described by local realistic descriptions.” This is kinda fun to consider.

https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a65104608/light-37-dimensions-quantum-mechanics/

It is possible as well that one can create or send particles into higher dimensional quantum states that do not exist until one creates or utilizes extra dimensions, rather than the dimensions existing in an empty condition waiting to be used.

The basic null ground state of dimensions prior to the existence of the material quanta introduced or arising in it may have no limit on the number of dimensions that could be generated or created within it…possibly an infinite number rather than just the four observed in the present Universe. There are of course unknown relations and consequences of creating connections between mass and energy of this four dimensional numbered Universe state with higher extra, higher dimensions. What those consequences are is not known presently. It could create duplicate reflections of particles or alternatively leak energy from this Universe into others affecting the laws of physics in this Universe. It is all fascinating to consider.

Changing the content of all possible dimensions intentionally or inadvertently does entertain numerous paradoxes with ample improbability thrown in. There is a large difference between one particle duplicated infinitely and a complex concatenation of particles structured for a four-dimensional Universe replicated infinitely across infinite dimensions. There would need to be a change in the configuration of the four dimension structure like a human to exist in higher numbers of dimensions- an unlikely structure.

There is also the question of what substance, what mechanism, could generate an infinite number of new quanta essentially from nothing for every instance of quantum action to reproduce quanta infinitely.

It is all fascinating to consider.

https://suno.com/s/FEoLYI76IghZQ1cL

16 June 2025

Israel's Anti-Nuclear Attack and the Global Nuclear Strategy Balance

 While the Ukraine war may be evolving toward and end in the next three months Israel’s attack on Iran in the campaign to destroy Iran’s nuclear development program has changed global strategic nuclear war strategies and made the mad balance of nuclear weapons restraint a little more precarious.

Israel had little choice about trying to destroy Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities located in secure industrial bunkers more than 90 meters underground. The U.S.A. has such bunker busting bombs and probably has given Israel a few to attack Iran’s nuclear development sites with. There was a 2.5 Richter scale earthquake at one of them yesterday.

There was talk about using small nuclear weapons to bust up very deep underground bunkers that couldn’t be reached with conventional explosives. I don’t know off-hand if such weapons were made- perhaps an improvised tactical nuclear weapon was adapted for the mission. I think it probably won’t be used this round even so.

Pakistan has said it will nuke Israel if Israel nukes Iran. It is good to know that quasi ally has finally put it’s true cards on the table- it is ultimately an enemy of Israel. If there is a Pakistan nuclear war someday, or one involving India vs China and Pakistan, it is helpful to know that Israel might need to intervene on India’s side in order to preempt the attack on Israel as an opportunistic and incidental shot in the major regional nuclear conflict.

Where is Russia in all of this? Russia is winning in Ukraine of course. It upgraded Iran’s Shahid drones to a better Russian enhanced version. While the U.S. may send a stealth bomber to drop bunker busters on Iran or not, Russia will not want to intervene on Iran’s behalf to help its ally much and invoke a wider conflict that would expand the Iran ward into a World War Three situation unifying Ukraine-Iran-Pakistan, India and China in a broad conflict front that would obviously swiftly bring Europe, the U.S.A. and the rest of the world into a complex nuclear exchange.

Russia has no interest in Iran possessing a nuclear weapon and could have sold it some if it did. Neither does China or even Pakistan with its antipathetic Sunni sectarianism vs the Iranian Shi’a especially desire to have Iran join it as a nuclear weapons owning state. No one really wants Iran to have nuclear weapons beside select Iranians. The west believes Iran with nuclear weapons would use them on Israel.

China wants to de frappe western encroachment as it exerts its economic and military regional muscles. It may feel that it is globally strong enough to become the world’s major economic power, yet it also has pragmatists who realize the conditionality of modern economies that exist in a precarious global position of shared and extended networking interacting with all of the world’s resources and trading exchanges. China does not actually need Taiwan for anything except friendly trade without becoming any sort of military base for hypothetical western attacks in the heartland. Taiwan is China’s Cuba. So long as nuclear weapons aren’t brought to Taiwan as Khrushchev once sought to do in Cuba, China can live peacefully and profitable with Taiwan as an independent yet Canada close to the U.S.A. trading partner.

https://suno.com/s/RHV8nSMPP9azhOnJ

Fundamentally nothing much has changed in the global strategic nuclear balance. The major players still need friendly global trade and want to eschew nuclear conflicts that bring everything down. Russia wants it’s western frontage on Europe to be safe and to resume normal trade relations without sanctions. The United State should want full normalized trade with Russia and an end to the Ukraine war that is lasting. That needs to happen within 3 or 4 months. To continue the war much farther will tend to make Russian territorial gains somewhat counter-productive for various reasons as the tactical window of its present method of battle operations on a conventional tensor is likely to close with latent development of counter-methodologies arising below the surface.

Russian reconquest of its Ukraine lands will stop with recover of the majority of Ukraine land east of the Dnepr River. President Trump will end sanctions and China and Russia will assist Iran in rebuilding it’s damaged infrastructure. The U.S., Russia and China will tend to be old frenemies from W.W. II loosely pursuing profitable trade and reduced nuclear tensions while certain second tier nuclear armed states and aspiring ones will rattle sabers; even ones made of wood.

14 June 2025

Remembering the Reagans, etc

 I used to spend a fair piece of time boating in S.E. Alaska. I saw several interesting vessels- one a stern steered boat with a large oar for a rudder, the sailing ship Lady Washington etc. I also saw former President Reagan's yacht near Wrangell as it passed on the way to town. I will recount that experience after mentioning briefly a pair of experiences myself- one on a skiff, to leave a chronological note.

For a few years when it was 32 my feet would turn black from cyanotic blood and I restored circulation by taking a hot shower-then the skin would turn back to pink or flesh color from a line above my ankle moving down eventually to my toes. It wasn't frostbite- it was something like trenchfoot that did it. I spent a day walking through deep water snow and creeks in combat boots. Comparable to keeping my feet in a bucket of ice and slushy water for a day. A couple days later they were swollen up like balloons and I had to get extra wide tennis shoes sizes to big for temporary use. I reinjured them in 2018 while bringing a skiff down from Juneau in October and nearly drowned crossing Taku Inlet. My boots had a leak and they stayed cold and wet for days. Then I returned to the shed and it was like my feet were on fire and hell for a week. I got snowed in and couldn't leave to go to a clinic in town. I made it eventually and got a drug that makes the brain not feel pain. My feet were nearly all recovered before that last injury.

https://suno.com/s/xWfqJoHuby5E4Rrg

Sometime around the Republican National convention of 1992 Ronald and Nancy Reagan yachted up the inside passage and put in at Wrangell.

https://suno.com/s/z2nno76Ttde4VdQ0

Ronald Reagan like seemed a tool of God, a man of peace and Christian- wise as a serpent yet gentle as a dove in a political ecosphere of vipers, and yet he seemed to be fading and looked under the weather. Nancy was on his arm and seemed healthy enough and to be reinforcing him as they walked along the sidewalk with a small entourage. Nancy was also an actress.

Ron looked at me as I was taking my last $100 from the bank when he walked past outside the bank window. He was wearing a wool sweater he had bought at Hickok's- a clothing store that opened shortly before his visit and closed not long after the Reagans left Wrangell. I had served as a reservist mostly for 6 years of his administration and that changed the way I looked at things perhaps. Reagan was taking heat for the Iran contra connection with Oliver North at the time and was perhaps getting away from the media spotlight in Alaska on a yachting sojourn. I thought I would help him out so I wrote an letter to an editor asking if Reagan had secretly been a communist -really counter-intuitive to what the public thought he had been. The premise was that he had been a Democrat and admired Franklin D Roosevelt when a young guy, and added several trillion dollars to the national debt as President (the debt excusable as a one-time thing in order to end the Cold War- no subsequent President should have followed that deficit spending example).

Shortly after that it was announced that he had Alzheimers and went into seclusion for the remainder of his days. I worked for a temporary agency at a construction site years later with a guy for a day that looked like Reagan's twin brother; he was a bricklayer. Nice guy. Interesting times. Maybe the Reagans used their acting skills to get some of their political work done.

Reagan was somewhat transparent- there is a lot of biographical stuff written about him. I think Nancy not so much- well I haven't read that. At that level the public persona needs to coincide with the private. Interesting thing I read that was somewhat biographical was a history by an insider of how Reagan de-escalated nuclear missile stocks with the Soviets. He was the only one who thought about that much in his administration- his goal was to eliminate all nuclear weapons. Everyone else in the government; and this continued into the start of the Bush administration, was aboard the traditional hawkish point of view. 

Reagan was a kind of voice crying in the wilderness in his own way and Gorbachev met him halfway. I suppose there is a secret history of Mikhail and his philosopher wife Reza that hasn't been written and never will be. I suspect that the Gorbachev's were the tip of an iceberg of high level insiders that wanted to end communism in Russia yet had to be rather careful covert and indirect to get that done because traditional, conservative communists would not tolerate that movement toward liberalization directly. 

https://suno.com/s/yL347Rks88vUjIqB Night Rises in Darkness

Presidents may have a lot of secret communications, methods and means perhaps unknown to history. Heck, I thought I saw Bill Clinton and Monica Lewinsky in a ferry terminal parking lot in Juneau in 1994 I believe it was. She had on a fishnet sweater kind of thing over a t-shirt and asked if I had change for a dollar so she could use a pay phone to call a taxi- She said 'I've got to get Randy home'. Bill was dressed casually like a regular grunge Alaskan, yet wearing a very large gold star like a sheriff badge some place down south that no one in Juneau wears anything vaguely resembling it, and appeared to be drunkish. Secrets people keep lol Everyone has seen celebrities though at some time. I did see Sean Connery at the Royal Sonesta Hotel in New Orleans at 2 in the morning getting out of a limousine in the parking garage where I was cleaning the gutter as a temporary over night worker.

05 June 2025

Trump's Big Beautiful Bill is Reaganomics v 5.0

 The BB Bill seems like pork served with Reaganomics that was Lafferian and just produced deficits. Reaganomics helped win the Cold War yet it should have been a one-off never repeated, budget plan.  Keynes’ invented deficit spending to pump prime an economy out of recession- it wasn’t intended to be a permanent economic policy of just having deficits and tax cuts to concentrate wealth and bankrupt a government. 

Musk has a more realistic, David Stockman sort of approach without the B.S. about how running deficits produces economic growth, increased revenue and a fair and balanced budget. Cutting taxes for the rich simply concentrates wealth, and the U.S. distribution of wealth has already equaled that of Mexico... The 1% are globalists and invest wherever they can make more profit internationally.

Words and Objects; Languages References and Epistemology

  Let me comment on the topic of the relationship between word and object. The phrase Word and Object was the title of a book by WVO Quine. ...