The Kimshi Progression- How War in North Korean-A Nation Without Oil, Isn't Too Likely

Conventional wisdom says that since North Korea has no kn own oil fields, no war shall occur there in the present economic mileau.

World War Two incidentally is said to be the last battle of world war one. There are a variety of theories of why world war one occurred from Marxist to Imperial. Ortega y Gasset wrote 'The Revolt of the Masses' predicting the war as a social empowerment of the masses and political evolution.

The old regime of Europe-the elite class politically tried to hold on to its power amidst an evolving continental trend toward populism from Marxism to Democracy. The national ruling classes of Europe and their complex treaties allowed a mobilization to become inevitable once certain incidents occurred.

It is interesting that in the last German offensive of the first world war German Crown Prince Ruprecht designed and led a brilliant break out offensive into France 250 miles that simply ran out of manpower through attrition, then the allies including fresh American troops rolled up the German Army and in Germany the people revolted creating a popular, non-aristocratic government.

That was a dumb government though. The elites hated to give up control and through the Army General staff probably are the reason the Army sent the charismatic Hitler to take over the German Socialist Democratic Workers Party. He converted it to fascism.

Plainly Wilson's decision to sign a separate treaty with Germany not guaranteeing the security of France left a large opportunity for a future German war on France. Also the U.S.A. did not mind too much Hitler's rise for a time, as we had a common Soviet enemy to the east. Ironically Hitler and Stalin signed a treaty just before world war two allowing them to divvy up Europe, (Russia got Finland) before Germany turned upon Russia with operation Barbarossa.

North Korea will continue to be isolated for some time,as the ruling cliche is comfortable enough. They know the South Korean-U.S. defenders have no interest in a conflict though they would win, because of the atrocious and senseless mass loss of life. China is unlikely to once again send troops over the Yalu River, and nuclear weapons perhaps would first be used indirectly to send large tsunami upon Shanghai with a heavy sub-sea nuke detonation should things get desperate for local allied defenders.

A Korean conflict would make the price of oil rise to 400 per barrel, and the Chinese economy would tend to stall, while in America, Sarah Palin would be assured Presidential election victory as the new war leader.

China may be unhappy with the economic ex-lax the Treasury has given to the money supply inducing quantitative easing recently. Dumping a load of cache purchase of bonds buying U.S. public debt cheapens the dollar and makes Chinese exports comparatively more expensive. Perhaps North Korea-there pit bull, is snarling a little to encourage concessions on negotiations on the undervaluation of the Yuan.

The United States may need to encourage an increase of purchase of kimshi to sell in domestic markets to increase South Korean economic health.

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post script

I've never been to Korea. After reading an article on the specific sequence of events of the conflict, I think perhaps we ought to export some of that hydroponic perch growing technology working in Wisconsin. Salmon farming away from the sea-in artificial onshore pens that recycle the nitrogen emissions to fertilize food crops might work to keep the Koreas from battling about declining fish harvests and other seashore related things.