Isaiah 14:24 'The LORD of hosts hath sworn, saying, Surely as I have thought, so shall it come to pass; and as I have purposed, so shall it stand:'
I should speculate that Iraqi oil fields worth perhaps a trillion dollars if not given to private ownership by Iraqi citizens will be the incentive for terrorist takeover the next seven years, and Americans will need to defend a qausi (public perception) possible puppet government or experience probably tripling of oil prices if Persian Gulf and Saudi oil fields are cutoff during fundamentalist Islamic revolutions.
The administration fails to comprehend the nature of revolutions perhaps...especially in the middle east.
... Revolutions were described interestingly in a book called the General Crisis of the 17th century. Revolutions mean different things to different people sometimes. Sometimes 'revoltionaries' aren't, but may be for example restorationists or whatever trying to turn back history to sdome hypothetical 'golden age'.
The United States should urge privatization of Iraqi oil fields with ther egovernment keeping 10% for financing. The U.S. oil companies will need to just hope that Iraqis decide to contract their services. French total or someone else may end up with the oil contracts otherwise, and oil may no longer be sold by OPEC in U.S. dollars. The Iraqi public needs a real reason to support the government, and th one unifying reason necessary is citizen ownership of the oil fields.
Democracy isn't historical for middle eastern nations besides Israel. Saddam Husein achieved a peaceful nation domesticly through absolute state terror-not an option for a democracy. A unified reason needs to exist for these people closer to the European 16th century politically than the 20th to select democracy and combat rule of the strongest. Oil ownership is fundamentally the right medium for broad popular support in Iraq of a government able to bridge sectarian and revisionist traits of rule through prowess in treachery.
Some middle eastern nations won't want a democracy in Iraq; theocracies and monarchies for instance. If the U.S. administration talks loud enough in support of popular stock issue for the trillion dollar Iraqi oil fields perhaps just 70,000 troops would be needed in 2008.
If the U.S. unilaterally withdraws quickly chaos in the region may follow, and U.S. troops should need to defend Kurdistan from an unitended U.S. policy for a recrudessent Ottoman Empire in Kurdistan, and troops in Saudi to defend the royalty from revolutionary Arab restorationists of populist theocracy while oil prices may reach 300 dollars per barrel briefy.
In the U.S. Congress the deadbeats need to pass an alternative energy bill right away and send it to the President. The bill should strongly support home energy production through fuel cell, wind and solar power, and innovate incentives and support for alternative energy and transport development. The U.S.A. is heading down the Toynbean road to collapse, and perhaps it can't be reversed in the broadcast media corruption of politics era. Its worth a try perhaps to try to innovate good congressional ideation/support for, and rectify the daft financial tendencies and foreign policy of the Bush administration.
Why can't some mass innoculations in some poor regions be done by engineer'd mosquitoes?
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