Gov. Rick Perry's Prospects for Winning the 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

Texas Governor Rick Perry entered the 2012 Republican presidential primary race today. His chances for winning enough primary elections to run against the President in November 2012 are largely contingent on voters forgetting that the last three Presidents from Texas allloaded up on foreign wars in countries with oil reserves. Avoidable protracted wars seem to be jumped on L.B.J., H.H.W. Bush and G.W. Bush.

Gov. Perry has the problem of sounding quite a bit like G.W. Bush, whom they would rather forget for the protracted nation rebuilding costs of Iraq.Gov. Perry was G.W. Bush’s Lt. Governor though so the resemblance is not genetic. It is the Texas oil culture and war production business influence that has shaped Gov. Perry’s ideas.

In speaking about his run for the White House Gov. Perry used the sort of Bushite ineloquent adverbality instead of using simple, plain sentence structure that made G.W. somewhat dulling upon the national I.Q. He mentioned the generational tax as a problem today. A generational tax isn’t like a security tax on foreign imports to pay for adequate inspections against terrorist paraphernalia, nor is it a progressive tax or even an income tax. One cannot really be sure if the tax is on the next generation, the last or who should be accountable. The voters will find the generational tax as amorphous as some of the tranching policies of Wall Street financial firms in assigning collateralized debt obligations to insured parties with vagueness sufficient to allow short selling when things seem dangerous possible changing the credit rating of the CDOs to the benefit of those programming best.

There are several taxes weighing heavily upon the present generation and those of tomorrow. The worst tax is the killing of the biosphere by idiot development, the next is the saturation of the ecosphere and oceans with carbon dioxide from industrial and ranching development, another is the annual interest payment on the federal debt because the rich don’t want to pay realistic taxes to pay the debt off quick, another tax is when the rich snap off the cultural legacy of the U.S.A. in its education and business and relocate manufacturing to China and India etc. Gov. Perry seems to believe the only meaningful generational tax is that which would fail to make royalty of oily Presidents and work against the concentration of wealth in the U.S.A.

Governor Perry will faces difficult times in persuading Americans that the poor are to blame for the nation’s current accounts deficits and relocation of jobs overseas or of the global heating problems (the Arctic icecap is having another record melting year, the U.S.G.S. is starting a seven week mission to study the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Arctic Ocean next week), inefficient prosecution of foreign nation rebuilding for a decade and so forth. Gov. Perry may be set to resume foreign wars in the Middle East if President if necessary, for few in the administration or in Gov. Perry’s camp have said what they expect to happen if the Syrian Government is forced out of office or what America’s policy responses might be to an Iranian invasion to Syria to reinforce the Assad government. American politicians seems to have little ability to foresee a move or two ahead logically on current international relations situations except to consider how many barrels of oil or gas might be located in a given nation. Gov. Perry would need to build trust on environmental and international relations issues if he is to capture the Republican Presidential nomination.

Most voters are aware that none of the Presidential candidates offer political platforms that would logically result in an elimination of federal debt, restoration of full employment, recovery of the nation's ecosystem and full health care for the poor. Since the wealthy own the broadcast media they are free to dispense whatever rhetoric they choose even if it is no more than political dogma without valid probabilities of rectifying the nation's real economic and ecospheric concerns.

The poor cannot afford medical care and the public should expand the V.A. hospital system and include the poor within that. It would provide be a good national emergency hospital capability as well. The middle class can afford medical insurance and yet with declining real wages for the middle class, jobs being outsourced and corporations cutting health benefits at work more middle class also look to the government for remedies; whatever-that is a different problem than that of the poor, without health and without hope of a good job.

There are people in America that slept outside on the ground ffour or five months last winter with the high temperature for the day below freezing. It can be somewhat irritating to hear a comfortable, rich Republican Presidential candidate speaking as if his only concern was to enrich the rich. Personal values are in part formed by personal experience-it is thus counterproductive for the nation to vote for warm weather candidates with cold-blooded hearts. They need intelligent political leaders with realistic ideas rather than partisan baloney. Gov. Rick Perry may be such a candidate.