American support for separation of Ukraine from Russia is something
like Russia supporting a
Canadian annexation of New England . Ukraine is the place Russia started. Only
in the confusion of the gentlemanly end of the Soviet Union did a brave
yet drunken Boris Yeltsin found wandering in a stupor around the White House
lawn sign away Ukraine to a
particular band of rebels. America has a post-Korean history of becoming rather
swollen with military power on political affairs internationally yet short on
intellect, diplomacy and understanding of real politics. Richard Nixon had an
abundance of that, yet flamed out domestically with Watergate.
I do not understand the American trait
of choosing belligerence over friendliness. Some believe one needs to be mean
to be wealthy, or that the wealthy are not lambs. If that is so, neither does
intelligence find its natural occurrence within the characteristics of cruel or
predatory behavior. Perhaps the stupid and cruel or treacherous and deceptive
are the scum that rise to the top of politics? Well, we will leave that
philosophical question and consider the real-world potential for creating a
long-term bellicosity with Russia a little later in this essay. Russia could just launch some nukes on the
U.S.A. and vice versa I suppose, yet there is a plethora of adverse elements
that could arise even if it is just not sharing intelligence with the U.S.A.
about Muslim terrorists.
The Obama administration has
completely misunderstood the Muslim world and its ability or interest in
democracy. It continues to view the world as if everyone wanted and American
style democracy while losing much of America's ability for moral suasion. While
the United States still has much wealth it also has much debt. The present
administration fiscal policy seems likely to build up Chinese industry more so
than that of the U.S.A. and transfer American investment into China though the
stock market is at a record high with the surge of Chinese growth
preponderantly. That policy won't necessarily be of benefit to ordinary Americans
down the road with political and economic leverage transferring to the Chinese
side of the Pacific.
When Ronald Reagan enabled the Soviets
to choose free enterprise America and the world averted a potential nuclear
conflict of vast scale. Follow up Democrats of course became rather swollen
about American power and continue to do so. Russians were not militarily
defeated any more than the Taliban, Al Qaeda, the Viet Cong or Iran. American
leadership has often started large conflicts with second and third world
nations bringing about the death of millions altogether without competence in
understanding the potential for building a peace in case a military victory
does not end the political cancer perceived by Washington physicians of war.
Russia resisted Napoleon and Hitler and may be recalcitrant about yielding to a
gayed-up Washington D.C. democrat party. Neither was it a good idea to fail to
treat Russia as a peer and business partner and get really involved while
accepting Russia's right to its own values. Formerly the French became
protective about their culture from Americanisms and we learned to accept that.
Not everyone wants a global plutocracy or Washington D.C.-Wall Street axis of
corporatism determining the composition of their culture, people or economic
structure.
Russia post cold war with America's
failure to get enthusiastically involved failed to secure its plutonium and
highly enriched uranium. As late as 1999 shoppers could walk into a warehouse
in Kazakhstan and evidently bid on the latter material. Iranians visited
shortly before American inspectors. It is impossible to say what they got.
Within thirty miles of Moscow
plutonium was stored in a building anyone could drive a truck up to secured
only by an ordinary locked door. In the Soviet Union internal security wasn't
considered necessary because of the draconian power of the K.G.B. Very likely
the mafias and others seeking materials of value that plundered the entire
nation spirited away some. No one will ever know.
Additionally biological war materials
were developed at the Caspian Sea site and through Biopreparat. Much of the
materials were destroyed eventually however tons were simply buried in Siberia.
The Soviets had worked on making two-part biotoxins such as a pneumonic plague
that would be followed up for survivors with an attack on the immune system.
Russia has a host of great scientists and can sell whatever it invents to China
too I suppose if America sanctions it too much. Russia's ability to drive up American
defense costs by selling technology to China is very high. While Russia won't
afford to build a blue water navy able to challenge the U.S. Navy it can sell
1000 mile per hour torpedo schematics, advise on building nuclear submarines
and drone submarines and provide technical assistance for construction of
stealthy drone aircraft carriers-perhaps even submersible ones, and help with
the Chinese Space program or even that of Qatar that seems determined to fly a
craft to Mars.
Traditional American political belligerence
doesn't always work nor is it always the right approach. Now and them
discretion and cooperation is advised and skipping the repress the rivals path should
be avoided. The administration should be careful about being international
martinets, and do so only with caution if at all remembering the real-world
public debt, unsecured Mexican border and further advance of transportation and
communications of the rest of the world to America borders and interests. At
some point China alone could shut down the U.S. economy just by stopping
exports to the U.S.A. for a few months. D.C. isn't looking ahead.
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