One
wonders if driving wedges between economic blocks in Eurasia is good
long-term policy for the United States? It is a matter of fact that
the Ukraine and the Crimea have historically been a part of Russia.
It is tempting to simply take the lands of other nations when one has
military power advantages, yet it isn't necessarily a good idea.
Consider
the U.S.A. and it's position with Russia, Western Europe and China as
well as the Moslem world. The U.S.A. has engaged in two protracted
nation rebuilding wars before withdrawing from each with about four
trillion dollars of public debt added and actually an increase in
terror activity after temporary occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan.
Europe and the Russian Federation have had a kind of stability, there
are some American and European investors in Russia. Europe and the
United States are in a mild recovery from the results of post-cold
war irrational exuberance in deregulation of Wall Street and banks
causing a Western financial crash. Europe has been experiencing
economic crisis in Greece, Italy and Spain. The United States has 17
trillion dollars of public debt and fewer Americans working than when
President Obama took office. Returning to an irrational cold war
posture with Russia over the Crimea and Eastern Ukraine isn't good
policy, and neither is it particularly moral.
Russians
defending Russian interests are like Americans seeking the return of
part of the United States if a socialist U.S. Government left power
after giving away New England to Canada after gutting the military
and government. Americans would seek it's return whenever they could
obviously, and Russians have sought the recovery of the Eastern
Ukraine and the Crimea; boundaries recognized by the allies at the
treaty of Versailles of 1918.
American
direct foreign investment in China is huge. Russia is also being
driven to increased trade with China and long-term sales of natural
gas and other resources. Obviously Russians like Americans can buy
everything they need in the way of consumer goods from China.
European relations with Russia will be harmed from sanctions and that
cuts off the prospects for a lot of direct European and American
investment in Russia. Between China and Europe Russia will be driven
further east in trade while Europe may find it's resources more
costly and markets fewer. As China gets it's act together the west is
led into division by the Obama administration, and for some reason I
include Russia in the west.
Russia is
a nation greater than 5000 miles wide spanning east and west. It has
a Western tradition in Christianity and industrial development since
Peter the Great visited western Europe to learn ship building in the
18th century. Consistently western Europe and even the
United States have invaded Russia. America did of course give Russia
material supplies in then war against the Nazi's yet the Russians
paid in blood. Without the Russian contribution on the Eastern front
the Reich likely wouldn't have been defeated. Instead their excellent
scientists would have developed the nuclear bomb in a dead heat with
America. Russia dido have the Marxist infection, yet Marx was a
German Jew working for the government of London in a Library. A
humanitarian and socialist, Stalin and others killed millions in his
name, more even than Hitler. A mature western leadership ought to
recognize the greatness of the Russian people and strive to meet them
on the road to economic and social progress.
In
fighting together in the war against terrorism Russians and the
United States have made substantial progress yet the war is never
over till it's over. A new generation of post-9-11 terrorists have
had time to matriculate and graduate from academies readying
themselves as sleepers in critical businesses able to self-activate
when the moment arises. Dividing the west and Russia now is just bad
policy.
The
narrow self-interests of select opportunist that took the Ukraine
for-themselves perhaps over the recalcitrance of the Russian
population to assert Ukrainian independence might be traced in 20th
century r movements of separatists and occasionally allies of
anti-Russian forces. As Russia was weakened through the world war one
invasion from Germany and the world war two invasion from Germany
they lost Ukrainian territory. The treaty of Versailles punished
Russia because the Soviet government signed a separate treaty with
Germany. The West rewarded itself by taking the western Ukraine. For
the United States to become involved now in consolidating the removal
of the rest of the Ukraine and Crime from Russia is simply myopic.
Good long-range relations with Russia are useful of the United States
is not to become somewhat marginalized economically further for
itself as China rises.
As the
Chinese economy and military rises a Europe working well with Russia
can help balance the world economy. That applies to the United States
too. If Europe isn't to be just a regional economic entity becoming
saturated with Moslem immigration while China is the center of the
world economically speaking the United States will need to take a
good look at its effort to promote China and degrade Russia because
the Ukraine has value to some special interests on Wall Street. One
wonders where diplomacy and wisdom went to in U.S. foreign policy.
Foggy bottom seems lost in a fog all over again (not an original
joke).
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