There are the elite rich and millions of minions perennially willing to corrupt individual rights with all of the influence the rich could bring to politics. Some foresaw the conflict in Ukraine sure that when Russia grew strong enough to recover its lost land taken in 1991 war would break out in the absence of realistic recovery through peaceful means. Few foresaw the growth of the EU and NATO to such an extreme that they would sustain war with Russia in Ukraine as a test of economic and military strength.
What wasn’t known a priori by many, was the shape the post Cold War realignment of Europe would take when it began to see itself as the center of the Universe politically a half century after D-Day. Germany is set to become perhaps the 3rd or 4th largest military on Earth. Its influence on the lesser members of the EU will be enormous. The EU doesn't want a strong, independent Russian democracy to exist.
The United States will be regarded as a junior partner in NATO as Europe will consider itself the true leaders and largely self-determining of a future quite distinct from the course the United States may take politically. Like the construction of large language models AI, the United States has served and does serve to build up what will become a rival to national interests in several respects- especially concerning political self-determination. George Washington warned of permanent foreign alliances in his farewell address for good reason. If he had been alive in recent history he probably would have increased the scope of his warning to include AI. International political and business competition preclude cessation of AI development before arrival of the singularity
Norway could become a junior partner in glorious economic fascism with Germany or flop toward state socialism in a reversal of the German revolution with the rich this time moving toward socialism led by royalty. The eventual shape of the complex network of EC/EU growth and political reformation of post Cold War even now is not comprehensively political.
Union dynamics and networks may create internal fissures and fusions of numerous political and social structures, tax laws and class loyalties. The United States should pursue its own course of international relations distinct from Europe’s. It should use constructive engagement with the EU while normalizing relations with Russia for independence. As a non-aligned nation the U.S.A. would have more agility and sovereign deliberation to choose what side to side with phenomenally when political circumstances indicate a positive value towards intervention.
Unless AI replaces 99% of the humans, perhaps the sole reasonably predictable element concerning the future of Europe is the rise and scalar increase of more bureaucracies.
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